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Continue reading →: Pittsburgh Steelers at Miami Dolphins: 2022 Week 7 NFL Pick
Pittsburgh Steelers (2-4) at Miami Dolphins (3-3) Two weeks ago, the Steelers were demolished in a 38-3 blowout in Buffalo, losing the first down rate battle by 6.42% and the yards per play battle by 5.17, but they bounced back in a big way last week, pulling an upset victory…
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Continue reading →: Seattle Seahawks at Los Angeles Chargers: 2022 Week 7 NFL Pick
Seattle Seahawks (3-3) at Los Angeles Chargers (4-2) I was surprised this line was so low, favoring the Chargers by just 5 points, after favoring them by 7.5 points on the early line last week. The Seahawks did pull the minor upset at home over the Cardinals last week, but…
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Continue reading →: Cleveland Browns at Baltimore Ravens: 2022 Week 7 NFL Pick
Cleveland Browns (2-4) at Baltimore Ravens (3-3) Earlier in the week, the Browns at +6.5 seemed like an intriguing bet in this game, as the Ravens are in a tough spot with a game against the Buccaneers on Thursday Night Football on deck, with favorites covering at just a 42.6%…
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Continue reading →: Green Bay Packers at Washington Commanders: 2022 Week 7 NFL Pick
Green Bay Packers (3-3) at Washington Commanders (2-4) The Packers are a disappointing 3-3, but that’s not all that surprising. They won 13 games a year ago, but they finished just 10th in point differential and 11th in overall efficiency, despite an MVP season from Aaron Rodgers who, as good…
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Continue reading →: Tampa Bay Buccaneers at Carolina Panthers: 2022 Week 7 NFL Pick
Tampa Bay Buccaneers (3-3) at Carolina Panthers (1-5) Tom Brady led teams typically bounce back well after a loss and the Buccaneers lost last week in Pittsburgh, but Brady’s ATS record after a loss is significantly better when he’s not a heavy favorite, going 36-12 ATS when not favored by…
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Continue reading →: Atlanta Falcons at Cincinnati Bengals: 2022 Week 7 NFL Pick
Atlanta Falcons (3-3) at Cincinnati Bengals (3-3) The Falcons have been one of the most surprising teams in the league this season. Entering the season clearly in the beginning phases of a rebuild, with one of the least talented rosters in the league on paper, the Falcons have started 3-3…
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Continue reading →: New Orleans Saints at Arizona Cardinals: 2022 Week 7 NFL Pick
New Orleans Saints (2-4) at Arizona Cardinals (2-4) Normally I like home favorites in non-divisional Thursday games because teams tend to be at a disadvantage when they travel on a short week to face a relatively unfamiliar opponent, unless they happen to be the significantly better team. As a result,…
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Continue reading →: 2022 Week 6 NFL Picks
Pick of the Week ATL +4.5 vs. SF High Confidence Picks MIN -3 @ MIA Medium Confidence Picks SEA +2.5 vs. ARZ NO +3 vs. CIN PHI -6.5 vs. DAL Low Confidence Picks KC +2.5 vs. BUF CLE -2.5 vs. NE No Confidence Picks WAS +1 @ CHI NYJ +7.5…
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Continue reading →: Denver Broncos at Los Angeles Chargers: 2022 Week 6 NFL Pick
Denver Broncos (2-3) at Los Angeles Chargers (3-2) Both of these teams have gotten off to disappointing starts. Both teams made significant additions this off-season and, as a result, were expected to take a step forward and become playoff teams and Super Bowl contenders this season, after numerous consecutive years…
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Continue reading →: Jacksonville Jaguars at Indianapolis Colts: 2022 Week 6 NFL Pick
Jacksonville Jaguars (2-3) at Indianapolis Colts (2-2-1) The Jaguars have a significantly better point differential than the Colts (+31 vs. -25) and won the first matchup between these two teams earlier this season in convincing fashion (24-0), but a lot of the gap between these two teams has been because…
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