-
Continue reading →: San Francisco 49ers at Atlanta Falcons: 2022 Week 6 NFL Pick
San Francisco 49ers (3-2) at Atlanta Falcons (2-3) The 49ers won in a blowout as 6.5-point road favorites in Carolina last week, but it was surprising to see them still be 4.5-point road favorites in this game in Atlanta this week. The Falcons are a much more competent and better…
-
Continue reading →: Washington Commanders at Chicago Bears: 2022 Week 6 NFL Pick
Washington Commanders (1-4) at Chicago Bears (2-3) This is a tough call. Normally I like home favorites in non-divisional Thursday games because teams tend to be at a disadvantage when they travel on a short week to face a relatively unfamiliar opponent, unless they happen to be the significantly better…
-
Continue reading →: 2022 Week 5 NFL Picks
Pick of the Week MIN -7.5 vs. CHI High Confidence Picks CAR +6.5 vs. SF CLE +2 vs. LAC NYJ +3.5 vs. MIA Medium Confidence Picks GB -8 vs. NYG Low Confidence Picks TB -10 vs. ATL PHI -5 @ ARZ DAL +5.5 @ LAR WAS +2 vs. TEN HOU…
-
Continue reading →: Detroit Lions at New England Patriots: 2022 Week 5 NFL Pick
Detroit Lions (1-3) at New England Patriots (1-3) Both of these teams are dealing with significant injury problems on offense. For the Patriots, the problem is that they are down to third string quarterback Bailey Zappe, a 4th round rookie and a significant downgrade from normal starter Mac Jones. The…
-
Continue reading →: Cincinnati Bengals at Baltimore Ravens: 2022 Week 5 NFL Pick
Cincinnati Bengals (2-2) at Baltimore Ravens (2-2) This is one of the tougher calls of the week. I have the Ravens a couple points better than the Bengals in my roster rankings and they are at home, but being favored by 3.5 points is actually a lot, considering 1 in…
-
Continue reading →: Las Vegas Raiders at Kansas City Chiefs: 2022 Week 5 NFL Pick
Las Vegas Raiders (1-3) at Kansas City Chiefs (3-1) The Chiefs are 3-1 and could easily be 4-0 if not for missed makeable kicks and turnovers in a 3-point loss to the Colts, a game in which the Chiefs won the first down rate battle by 5.50% and the yards…
-
Continue reading →: Philadelphia Eagles at Arizona Cardinals: 2022 Week 5 NFL Pick
Philadelphia Eagles (4-0) at Arizona Cardinals (2-2) Coming into the season, I thought the Cardinals were one of the most overrated teams in the league. They went 11-6 last season, but needed a +12 turnover margin to get to that record, which is not predictive, and they ranked just 14th…
-
Continue reading →: Dallas Cowboys at Los Angeles Rams: 2022 Week 5 NFL Pick
Dallas Cowboys (3-1) at Los Angeles Rams (2-2) All seemed lost for the Cowboys when they lost quarterback Dak Prescott for an extended period of time in a week 1 blowout home loss to the Buccaneers, but they’ve since won three straight games and are squarely in the playoff mix…
-
Continue reading →: Houston Texans at Jacksonville Jaguars: 2022 Week 5 NFL Pick
Houston Texans (0-3-1) at Jacksonville Jaguars (2-2) Last week, I said the Jaguars were overrated as 6.5-point underdogs in Philadelphia and this week I think they are overrated as 7-point home favorites against the Texans. The Jaguars jumped out to a 2-1 start to this season, but they caught the…
-
Continue reading →: Seattle Seahawks at New Orleans Saints: 2022 Week 5 NFL Pick
Seattle Seahawks (2-2) at New Orleans Saints (1-3) The Saints are just 1-3, but they’ve faced a relatively tough schedule and have the league’s worst turnover margin at -7, which is not predictive week-to-week. In terms of schedule adjusted overall efficiency, which takes into account strength of schedule and is…
-
Subscribe
Subscribed
Have a WordPress.com account? Log in now.
