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Continue reading →: Green Bay Packers at Washington Commanders: 2022 Week 7 NFL Pick
Green Bay Packers (3-3) at Washington Commanders (2-4) The Packers are a disappointing 3-3, but that’s not all that surprising. They won 13 games a year ago, but they finished just 10th in point differential and 11th in overall efficiency, despite an MVP season from Aaron Rodgers who, as good…
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Continue reading →: Tampa Bay Buccaneers at Carolina Panthers: 2022 Week 7 NFL Pick
Tampa Bay Buccaneers (3-3) at Carolina Panthers (1-5) Tom Brady led teams typically bounce back well after a loss and the Buccaneers lost last week in Pittsburgh, but Brady’s ATS record after a loss is significantly better when he’s not a heavy favorite, going 36-12 ATS when not favored by…
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Continue reading →: Atlanta Falcons at Cincinnati Bengals: 2022 Week 7 NFL Pick
Atlanta Falcons (3-3) at Cincinnati Bengals (3-3) The Falcons have been one of the most surprising teams in the league this season. Entering the season clearly in the beginning phases of a rebuild, with one of the least talented rosters in the league on paper, the Falcons have started 3-3…
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Continue reading →: New Orleans Saints at Arizona Cardinals: 2022 Week 7 NFL Pick
New Orleans Saints (2-4) at Arizona Cardinals (2-4) Normally I like home favorites in non-divisional Thursday games because teams tend to be at a disadvantage when they travel on a short week to face a relatively unfamiliar opponent, unless they happen to be the significantly better team. As a result,…
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Continue reading →: 2022 Week 6 NFL Picks
Pick of the Week ATL +4.5 vs. SF High Confidence Picks MIN -3 @ MIA Medium Confidence Picks SEA +2.5 vs. ARZ NO +3 vs. CIN PHI -6.5 vs. DAL Low Confidence Picks KC +2.5 vs. BUF CLE -2.5 vs. NE No Confidence Picks WAS +1 @ CHI NYJ +7.5…
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Continue reading →: Denver Broncos at Los Angeles Chargers: 2022 Week 6 NFL Pick
Denver Broncos (2-3) at Los Angeles Chargers (3-2) Both of these teams have gotten off to disappointing starts. Both teams made significant additions this off-season and, as a result, were expected to take a step forward and become playoff teams and Super Bowl contenders this season, after numerous consecutive years…
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Continue reading →: Jacksonville Jaguars at Indianapolis Colts: 2022 Week 6 NFL Pick
Jacksonville Jaguars (2-3) at Indianapolis Colts (2-2-1) The Jaguars have a significantly better point differential than the Colts (+31 vs. -25) and won the first matchup between these two teams earlier this season in convincing fashion (24-0), but a lot of the gap between these two teams has been because…
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Continue reading →: Baltimore Ravens at New York Giants: 2022 Week 6 NFL Pick
Baltimore Ravens (3-2) at New York Giants (4-1) The Giants are a surprising 4-1, but they haven’t played as well as that suggests, as they have had one of the easiest schedules in the league and haven’t won any games by more than one score. They got their best win…
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Continue reading →: New England Patriots at Cleveland Browns: 2022 Week 6 NFL Pick
New England Patriots (2-3) at Cleveland Browns (2-3) Both of these two teams are 2-3, but both have played better than their records would suggest. The Browns have a positive point differential at +8, with their three losses coming by a combined six points, including a game in which they…
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Continue reading →: Dallas Cowboys at Philadelphia Eagles: 2022 Week 6 NFL Pick
Dallas Cowboys (4-1) at Philadelphia Eagles (5-0) The Cowboys are undefeated since having to turn to backup quarterback Cooper Rush in place of the injured Dak Prescott, but the Cowboys have faced a relatively easy schedule during those four games and it has been their defense carrying them, ranking 4th…
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