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Continue reading →: Baltimore Ravens at New York Giants: 2022 Week 6 NFL Pick
Baltimore Ravens (3-2) at New York Giants (4-1) The Giants are a surprising 4-1, but they haven’t played as well as that suggests, as they have had one of the easiest schedules in the league and haven’t won any games by more than one score. They got their best win…
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Continue reading →: New England Patriots at Cleveland Browns: 2022 Week 6 NFL Pick
New England Patriots (2-3) at Cleveland Browns (2-3) Both of these two teams are 2-3, but both have played better than their records would suggest. The Browns have a positive point differential at +8, with their three losses coming by a combined six points, including a game in which they…
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Continue reading →: Dallas Cowboys at Philadelphia Eagles: 2022 Week 6 NFL Pick
Dallas Cowboys (4-1) at Philadelphia Eagles (5-0) The Cowboys are undefeated since having to turn to backup quarterback Cooper Rush in place of the injured Dak Prescott, but the Cowboys have faced a relatively easy schedule during those four games and it has been their defense carrying them, ranking 4th…
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Continue reading →: Buffalo Bills at Kansas City Chiefs: 2022 Week 6 NFL Pick
Buffalo Bills (4-1) at Kansas City Chiefs (4-1) You could make a strong argument that these are the two best teams in the league. Both have a loss, unlike the league’s lone remaining undefeated Philadelphia Eagles, but both losses were very close and they are the two highest ranked teams…
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Continue reading →: Cincinnati Bengals at New Orleans Saints: 2022 Week 6 NFL Pick
Cincinnati Bengals (2-3) at New Orleans Saints (2-3) The Saints are just 2-3, but the turnover margin has been a big problem for them, as they have the worst in the league at -8, which, fortunately for them, is not predictive. In terms of schedule adjusted offensive and defensive efficiency,…
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Continue reading →: Minnesota Vikings at Miami Dolphins: 2022 Week 6 NFL Pick
Minnesota Vikings (4-1) at Miami Dolphins (3-2) Coming into the season, I expected the Vikings to be better than a year ago and make the post-season, with better health on defense and better coaching on offense. So far, they are 4-1, with their only loss coming to the undefeated Eagles,…
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Continue reading →: Carolina Panthers at Los Angeles Rams: 2022 Week 6 NFL Pick
Carolina Panthers (1-4) at Los Angeles Rams (2-3) The Panthers came into this season with some hope of being better on offense, adding quarterback Baker Mayfield and overhauling the offensive line in front of him, after finishing the 2021 season ranked 29th in offensive efficiency. Their defense ranked 4th in…
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Continue reading →: Tampa Bay Buccaneers at Pittsburgh Steelers: 2022 Week 6 NFL Pick
Tampa Bay Buccaneers (3-2) at Pittsburgh Steelers (1-4) The Steelers were blown out last week in Buffalo, losing the first down rate battle by 6.42% and the yards per play battle by 5.17 in a 38-3 defeat. That normally is a good thing for their chances of covering the spread…
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Continue reading →: New York Jets at Green Bay Packers: 2022 Week 6 NFL Pick
New York Jets (3-2) at Green Bay Packers (3-2) I was hoping we would get some value with the Packers this week, back at home after a disappointing performance in London against the Giants last week. In Aaron Rodgers’ career, the Packers have had a significant homefield advantage, going 47-20…
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Continue reading →: Arizona Cardinals at Seattle Seahawks: 2022 Week 6 NFL Pick
Arizona Cardinals (2-3) at Seattle Seahawks (2-3) Coming into the season, I thought the Cardinals were one of the most overrated teams in the league. They went 11-6 last season, but needed a +12 turnover margin to get to that record, which is not predictive, and they ranked just 14th…
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