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Continue reading →: Green Bay Packers at Houston Texans: Week 6 NFL Pick
Green Bay Packers (2-3) at Houston Texans (5-0) I feel pretty much exactly the same way about this one as I did about San Francisco/NY Giants. With the favorite, we are getting line value and the opportunity to fade a public underdog. However, with the dog, we’re getting a team…
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Continue reading →: Detroit Lions at Philadelphia Eagles: Week 6 NFL Pick
Detroit Lions (1-3) at Philadelphia Eagles (3-2) The Detroit Lions sit at 1-3 and have yet to cover a spread. As someone who called them overrated to start the season and subsequently went against them in each of their first 4 games, I’m pretty happy about that. However, right now…
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Continue reading →: Oakland Raiders at Atlanta Falcons: Week 6 NFL Pick
Oakland Raiders (1-3) at Atlanta Falcons (5-0) Matt Ryan is 27-5 in his career at home, including 22-10 ATS and the Falcons are 5-0. The Raiders, meanwhile, are 1-3, coming off a blowout loss to the Broncos (before the bye) and have to travel to Atlanta and play a 1…
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Continue reading →: New York Giants at San Francisco 49ers: Week 6 NFL Pick
New York Giants (3-2) at San Francisco 49ers (4-1) The San Francisco 49ers are the best team in the league. At least that’s what yards per play differential says and it’s not even really close. They are gaining 1.9 yards per play more than they are allowing and they rank…
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Continue reading →: Denver Broncos at San Diego Chargers: Week 6 NFL Pick
Denver Broncos (2-3) at San Diego Chargers (3-2) From 2003-2010, Peyton Manning was 14-2 ATS as an underdog. This year he is 0-3. Does that mean he’s done or not the same player? Not necessarily. His QB rating is actually 6 points higher than his career average and his completion…
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Continue reading →: Kansas City Chiefs at Tampa Bay Buccaneers: Week 6 NFL Pick
Kansas City Chiefs (1-4) at Tampa Bay Buccaneers (1-3) The Chiefs are more than a field goal underdog here against a Tampa Bay team that isn’t very good and yet the public still likes Tampa Bay this week. This is because the public sees Kansas City as a joke. As…
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Continue reading →: Arizona Cardinals at Buffalo Bills: Week 6 NFL Pick
Buffalo Bills (2-3) at Arizona Cardinals (4-1) Last week, I called the Arizona Cardinals one of the worst 4-0 teams ever. With Kevin Kolb as their quarterback, no offensive line, and no running game, last week’s offensive catastrophe was inevitable and I don’t think it’s the last one. There’s a…
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Continue reading →: Dallas Cowboys at Baltimore Ravens: Week 6 NFL Pick
Dallas Cowboys (2-2) at Baltimore Ravens (4-1) Since their impressive win over the Patriots week 3, the Ravens have fallen flat in back-to-back games against inferior opponents, winning by just 6 at home against Cleveland and winning by just 3 in Kansas City last week. Does this mean they’re not…
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Continue reading →: St. Louis Rams at Miami Dolphins: Week 6 NFL Pick
St. Louis Rams (3-2) at Miami Dolphins (2-3) The Rams appear to be the public’s new hot young team. After an impressive defensive effort and a 14 point home win over the previously undefeated Cardinals, the Rams now stand at 3-2 and are over .500 for the first time since…
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Continue reading →: New England Patriots at Seattle Seahawks: Week 6 NFL Pick
New England Patriots (3-2) at Seattle Seahawks (3-2) As you may know, the Seahawks have a huge home/road disparity. Since 2007, they are 29-14 ATS at home and 15-29 ATS on the road. Because of this, I love betting on their games and frequently make significant plays on them at…
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