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Continue reading →: Detroit Lions at New England Patriots: 2022 Week 5 NFL Pick
Detroit Lions (1-3) at New England Patriots (1-3) Both of these teams are dealing with significant injury problems on offense. For the Patriots, the problem is that they are down to third string quarterback Bailey Zappe, a 4th round rookie and a significant downgrade from normal starter Mac Jones. The…
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Continue reading →: Cincinnati Bengals at Baltimore Ravens: 2022 Week 5 NFL Pick
Cincinnati Bengals (2-2) at Baltimore Ravens (2-2) This is one of the tougher calls of the week. I have the Ravens a couple points better than the Bengals in my roster rankings and they are at home, but being favored by 3.5 points is actually a lot, considering 1 in…
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Continue reading →: Las Vegas Raiders at Kansas City Chiefs: 2022 Week 5 NFL Pick
Las Vegas Raiders (1-3) at Kansas City Chiefs (3-1) The Chiefs are 3-1 and could easily be 4-0 if not for missed makeable kicks and turnovers in a 3-point loss to the Colts, a game in which the Chiefs won the first down rate battle by 5.50% and the yards…
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Continue reading →: Philadelphia Eagles at Arizona Cardinals: 2022 Week 5 NFL Pick
Philadelphia Eagles (4-0) at Arizona Cardinals (2-2) Coming into the season, I thought the Cardinals were one of the most overrated teams in the league. They went 11-6 last season, but needed a +12 turnover margin to get to that record, which is not predictive, and they ranked just 14th…
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Continue reading →: Dallas Cowboys at Los Angeles Rams: 2022 Week 5 NFL Pick
Dallas Cowboys (3-1) at Los Angeles Rams (2-2) All seemed lost for the Cowboys when they lost quarterback Dak Prescott for an extended period of time in a week 1 blowout home loss to the Buccaneers, but they’ve since won three straight games and are squarely in the playoff mix…
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Continue reading →: Houston Texans at Jacksonville Jaguars: 2022 Week 5 NFL Pick
Houston Texans (0-3-1) at Jacksonville Jaguars (2-2) Last week, I said the Jaguars were overrated as 6.5-point underdogs in Philadelphia and this week I think they are overrated as 7-point home favorites against the Texans. The Jaguars jumped out to a 2-1 start to this season, but they caught the…
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Continue reading →: Seattle Seahawks at New Orleans Saints: 2022 Week 5 NFL Pick
Seattle Seahawks (2-2) at New Orleans Saints (1-3) The Saints are just 1-3, but they’ve faced a relatively tough schedule and have the league’s worst turnover margin at -7, which is not predictive week-to-week. In terms of schedule adjusted overall efficiency, which takes into account strength of schedule and is…
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Continue reading →: Tennessee Titans at Washington Commanders: 2022 Week 5 NFL Pick
Tennessee Titans (2-2) at Washington Commanders (1-3) These two teams are similar in some ways. Both teams entered the year without top edge defenders, Harold Landry for the Titans and Chase Young for the Commanders. Both teams have gotten off to underwhelming starts to the season, with the Titans and…
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Continue reading →: Atlanta Falcons at Tampa Bay Buccaneers: 2022 Week 5 NFL Pick
Atlanta Falcons (2-2) at Tampa Bay Buccaneers (2-2) Last week Tom Brady lost in a spot in which he hardly ever loses, previously being 36-11 ATS off of a loss unless he is favored by more than a touchdown, but it wasn’t really his fault aside from a sack fumble,…
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Continue reading →: Chicago Bears at Minnesota Vikings: 2022 Week 5 NFL Pick
Chicago Bears (2-2) at Minnesota Vikings (3-1) Expected by many to be the worst team in the league, the Bears somewhat surprisingly have a couple wins at 2-2, but if you look at how they got those wins, it’s not hard to see how they could still be the worst…
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