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Continue reading →: Jacksonville Jaguars at Philadelphia Eagles: 2022 Week 4 NFL Pick
Jacksonville Jaguars (2-1) at Philadelphia Eagles (3-0) Coming into the season, I expected the Eagles to be one of the best teams in the league, projecting them to win 12 games and tie for the best record in the NFC. The Eagles were coming off of a playoff appearance a…
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Continue reading →: Chicago Bears at New York Giants: 2022 Week 4 NFL Pick
Chicago Bears (2-1) at New York Giants (2-1) Expected by many to be the worst team in the league, the Bears are a surprising 2-1, but if you look at how they are winning games, it’s not hard to see how they could still be the worst team in the…
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Continue reading →: Cleveland Browns at Atlanta Falcons: 2022 Week 4 NFL Pick
Cleveland Browns (2-1) at Atlanta Falcons (1-2) The Falcons were expected to be one of the worst teams in the league this season and they may still end up there, but they have exceeded expectations through the first three games of the season, particularly on offense, where they rank 2nd…
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Continue reading →: Arizona Cardinals at Carolina Panthers: 2022 Week 4 NFL Pick
Arizona Cardinals (1-2) at Carolina Panthers (1-2) A week ago on the early line, the Cardinals were favored by a field goal on the road in this game in Carolina. At that number, I would have liked the Panthers a lot. The Cardinals were at the top of my overrated…
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Continue reading →: Minnesota Vikings vs. New Orleans Saints: 2022 Week 4 NFL Pick
Minnesota Vikings (2-1) vs. New Orleans Saints (1-2) in London Typically, the rule of thumb in international games is to take the favorite, as the better team tends to be better equipped to deal with playing a game after an unusual week, going 26-14 ATS all-time. That should be especially…
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Continue reading →: Miami Dolphins at Cincinnati Bengals: 2022 Week 4 NFL Pick
Miami Dolphins (3-0) at Cincinnati Bengals (1-2) The Dolphins are 3-0, so it may be surprising to see them as 4-point underdogs in Cincinnati against a 1-2 Bengals team, especially since about 30% of games are decided by 4 points or fewer. However, the Bengals could also easily be 3-0.…
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Continue reading →: 2022 Week 3 NFL Picks
Pick of the Week NE +3 vs. BAL High Confidence TB -1 vs. GB Medium Confidence CLE -4.5 vs. PIT ARZ +3.5 vs. LAR CAR +3 vs. NO KC -5.5 @ IND HOU +3 @ CHI SEA PK vs. ATL Low Confidence NYJ +6 vs. CIN NYG -1 vs. DAL…
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Continue reading →: Jacksonville Jaguars at Los Angeles Chargers: 2022 Week 3 NFL Pick
Jacksonville Jaguars (1-1) at Los Angeles Chargers (1-1) This game is tough to predict because even as of Sunday morning we don’t know the status of Chargers quarterback Justin Herbert, who is dealing with a rib injury suffered in last week’s game. Herbert stayed in the game last week and…
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Continue reading →: Dallas Cowboys at New York Giants: 2022 Week 3 NFL Pick
Dallas Cowboys (1-1) at New York Giants (2-0) The Giants are 2-0, but they haven’t been that impressive. Both of their wins have been close against below average opponents, with a combined margin of victory of 4 points against the Titans and Panthers, and their win over the Panthers was…
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Continue reading →: Los Angeles Rams at Arizona Cardinals: 2022 Week 3 NFL Pick
Los Angeles Rams (1-1) at Arizona Cardinals (1-1) Going into the season, I considered the Cardinals among the most overrated teams in the league and a likely candidate to regress. They went 11-6 last season, but needed a +12 turnover margin to get to that record, which is not predictive,…
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