-
Continue reading →: Los Angeles Rams at San Francisco 49ers: 2022 Week 4 NFL Pick
Los Angeles Rams (2-1) at San Francisco 49ers (1-2) The 49ers have been hit hard by injuries as much as any team in the league. In total, they are without top interior defender Arik Armstead, rotational interior defender Javon Kinlaw, talented safety Jimmie Ward, rotational linebacker Azeez Al-Shaair, starting center…
-
Continue reading →: Washington Commanders at Dallas Cowboys: 2022 Week 4 NFL Pick
Washington Commanders (1-2) at Dallas Cowboys (2-1) The Cowboys’ season seemed over in week 1, when Dak Prescott suffered a multi-week injury in a blowout loss at home to the Buccaneers, but they’ve won back-to-back games with backup quarterback Mike White and, while he might not continue to play quite…
-
Continue reading →: New York Jets at Pittsburgh Steelers: 2022 Week 4 NFL Pick
New York Jets (1-2) at Pittsburgh Steelers (1-2) I’ve mentioned before that +3.5 covers the spread more than any other number, doing so 53.0% of the time, which is actually a profitable winning percentage even with the vig. That’s because of how many games are decided by exactly 3 points,…
-
Continue reading →: Denver Broncos at Las Vegas Raiders: 2022 Week 4 NFL Pick
Denver Broncos (2-1) at Las Vegas Raiders (0-3) This line favors the Raiders by 2.5 points at home, suggesting these two teams are about even. I have them about equal in my roster rankings, so this line is about right. The Raiders could be in a tough spot this week,…
-
Continue reading →: Seattle Seahawks at Detroit Lions: 2022 Week 4 NFL Pick
Seattle Seahawks (1-2) at Detroit Lions (1-2) This line has moved from favoring the Lions by 6 points on the early line last week to just 3.5 points this week, but I don’t think the line has moved enough, with the Lions losing feature back D’Andre Swift and #1 wide…
-
Continue reading →: Green Bay Packers at New England Patriots: 2022 Week 4 NFL Pick
New England Patriots (1-2) at Green Bay Packers (2-1) The Patriots will play this game with backup quarterback Brian Hoyer under center instead of Mac Jones, which puts them at a distinct disadvantage, while the Packers have gotten back offensive linemen David Bakhtiari, Elgton Jenkins, and Jon Runyan and wide…
-
Continue reading →: Los Angeles Chargers at Houston Texans: 2022 Week 4 NFL Pick
Los Angeles Chargers (1-2) at Houston Texans (0-2-1) Going into the season, I expected the Chargers to be Super Bowl contenders, but they’ve gotten off to a slow start, sitting at 1-2, while ranking just 19th in schedule adjusted overall efficiency. A big part of the problem has been injuries…
-
Continue reading →: Kansas City Chiefs at Tampa Bay Buccaneers: 2022 Week 4 NFL Pick
Kansas City Chiefs (2-1) at Tampa Bay Buccaneers (2-1) I’ve mentioned this in the Buccaneers’ first three games, but Tom Brady led teams have been a strong bet as underdogs or favorites of less than three in his career, going 59-29 ATS in that spot, including 2-1 ATS this season.…
-
Continue reading →: Buffalo Bills at Baltimore Ravens: 2022 Week 4 NFL Pick
Buffalo Bills (2-1) at Baltimore Ravens (2-1) The Bills lost last week in a close 2-point game in Miami, which has been a common theme for them in the past couple years. Since the start of last season, 7 of the 8 Bills’ losses, including playoffs, have come by one…
-
Continue reading →: Tennessee Titans at Indianapolis Colts: 2022 Week 4 NFL Pick
Tennessee Titans (1-2) at Indianapolis Colts (1-1-1) The Colts surprisingly got their first victory of the season last week in an upset win over the Chiefs, but the Chiefs missed a makeable field goal and extra point in the 3-point loss, so the Chiefs easily could have won, even though…
-
Subscribe
Subscribed
Have a WordPress.com account? Log in now.
