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Continue reading →: Buffalo Bills at Kansas City Chiefs: 2022 Week 6 NFL Pick
Buffalo Bills (4-1) at Kansas City Chiefs (4-1) You could make a strong argument that these are the two best teams in the league. Both have a loss, unlike the league’s lone remaining undefeated Philadelphia Eagles, but both losses were very close and they are the two highest ranked teams…
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Continue reading →: Cincinnati Bengals at New Orleans Saints: 2022 Week 6 NFL Pick
Cincinnati Bengals (2-3) at New Orleans Saints (2-3) The Saints are just 2-3, but the turnover margin has been a big problem for them, as they have the worst in the league at -8, which, fortunately for them, is not predictive. In terms of schedule adjusted offensive and defensive efficiency,…
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Continue reading →: Minnesota Vikings at Miami Dolphins: 2022 Week 6 NFL Pick
Minnesota Vikings (4-1) at Miami Dolphins (3-2) Coming into the season, I expected the Vikings to be better than a year ago and make the post-season, with better health on defense and better coaching on offense. So far, they are 4-1, with their only loss coming to the undefeated Eagles,…
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Continue reading →: Carolina Panthers at Los Angeles Rams: 2022 Week 6 NFL Pick
Carolina Panthers (1-4) at Los Angeles Rams (2-3) The Panthers came into this season with some hope of being better on offense, adding quarterback Baker Mayfield and overhauling the offensive line in front of him, after finishing the 2021 season ranked 29th in offensive efficiency. Their defense ranked 4th in…
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Continue reading →: Tampa Bay Buccaneers at Pittsburgh Steelers: 2022 Week 6 NFL Pick
Tampa Bay Buccaneers (3-2) at Pittsburgh Steelers (1-4) The Steelers were blown out last week in Buffalo, losing the first down rate battle by 6.42% and the yards per play battle by 5.17 in a 38-3 defeat. That normally is a good thing for their chances of covering the spread…
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Continue reading →: New York Jets at Green Bay Packers: 2022 Week 6 NFL Pick
New York Jets (3-2) at Green Bay Packers (3-2) I was hoping we would get some value with the Packers this week, back at home after a disappointing performance in London against the Giants last week. In Aaron Rodgers’ career, the Packers have had a significant homefield advantage, going 47-20…
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Continue reading →: Arizona Cardinals at Seattle Seahawks: 2022 Week 6 NFL Pick
Arizona Cardinals (2-3) at Seattle Seahawks (2-3) Coming into the season, I thought the Cardinals were one of the most overrated teams in the league. They went 11-6 last season, but needed a +12 turnover margin to get to that record, which is not predictive, and they ranked just 14th…
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Continue reading →: San Francisco 49ers at Atlanta Falcons: 2022 Week 6 NFL Pick
San Francisco 49ers (3-2) at Atlanta Falcons (2-3) The 49ers won in a blowout as 6.5-point road favorites in Carolina last week, but it was surprising to see them still be 4.5-point road favorites in this game in Atlanta this week. The Falcons are a much more competent and better…
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Continue reading →: Washington Commanders at Chicago Bears: 2022 Week 6 NFL Pick
Washington Commanders (1-4) at Chicago Bears (2-3) This is a tough call. Normally I like home favorites in non-divisional Thursday games because teams tend to be at a disadvantage when they travel on a short week to face a relatively unfamiliar opponent, unless they happen to be the significantly better…
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Continue reading →: 2022 Week 5 NFL Picks
Pick of the Week MIN -7.5 vs. CHI High Confidence Picks CAR +6.5 vs. SF CLE +2 vs. LAC NYJ +3.5 vs. MIA Medium Confidence Picks GB -8 vs. NYG Low Confidence Picks TB -10 vs. ATL PHI -5 @ ARZ DAL +5.5 @ LAR WAS +2 vs. TEN HOU…