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Continue reading →: Detroit Lions at Minnesota Vikings: 2022 Week 3 NFL Pick
Detroit Lions (1-1) at Minnesota Vikings (1-1) This is one of my lowest confidence picks of the week. This line shifted from favoring the Vikings by 8 points on the early line last week to now only favoring them by 6 points and ordinarily I would like to fade that…
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Continue reading →: Las Vegas Raiders at Tennessee Titans: 2022 Week 3 NFL Pick
Las Vegas Raiders (0-2) at Tennessee Titans (0-2) Both of these teams made the post-season last year and now are essentially fighting for their playoff lives, seeking to avoid a 0-3 start. They may have identical records, but the Raiders are definitely better positioned going forward. Both of the Raiders…
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Continue reading →: Kansas City Chiefs at Indianapolis Colts: 2022 Week 3 NFL Pick
Kansas City Chiefs (2-0) at Indianapolis Colts (0-1-1) The Colts have gotten off to a 0-1-1 start, but they still rank 17th in overall efficiency, with their biggest problem thus far being a -4 turnover margin, which is not predictive week-to-week. However, they have faced one of the easiest schedules…
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Continue reading →: Atlanta Falcons at Seattle Seahawks: 2022 Week 3 NFL Pick
Atlanta Falcons (0-2) at Seattle Seahawks (1-1) The Seahawks were favored by 3 points in this matchup on the early line last week, but the line has since shifted to even, a big line movement, given that about 1 in 4 games are decided by 3 points or less. Both…
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Continue reading →: Green Bay Packers at Tampa Bay Buccaneers: 2022 Week 3 NFL Pick
Green Bay Packers (1-1) at Tampa Bay Buccaneers (2-0) Thus far, the Tampa Bay Buccaneers rank dead last in the league in offensive efficiency through two weeks. Quarterback Tom Brady hasn’t necessarily been the problem, but he entered the season already missing a pair of starters on the offensive line…
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Continue reading →: Cincinnati Bengals at New York Jets: 2022 Week 3 NFL Pick
CIncinnati Bengals (0-2) at New York Jets (1-1) The Bengals are favored on the road against the Jets and have a much tougher game on deck against the Dolphins, which happens to be on Thursday Night Football. Typically, that is not a good spot for a team, as favorites cover…
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Continue reading →: Baltimore Ravens at New England Patriots: 2022 Week 3 NFL Pick
Baltimore Ravens (1-1) at New England Patriots (1-1) The Patriots have been my Pick of the Week in each of the first two weeks of the season because I thought they were an underrated team coming into the season and that we were getting good value with them in each…
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Continue reading →: Philadelphia Eagles at Washington Commanders: 2022 Week 3 NFL Pick
Philadelphia Eagles (2-0) at Washington Commanders (1-1) This line has jumped significantly from a week ago, when the Eagles were just 3-point favorites on the early line in this game in Washington, as the Eagles are now favored by 6.5 points. Normally I like to fade significant week-to-week line movements…
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Continue reading →: San Francisco 49ers at Denver Broncos: 2022 Week 3 NFL Pick
San Francisco 49ers (1-1) at Denver Broncos (1-1) This game has seen a significant line movement in the past week, shifting from Denver -3 on the early line last week to San Francisco -1.5 this week. Normally I like to fade significant week-to-week line movements, as they tend to be…
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Continue reading →: Buffalo Bills at Miami Dolphins: 2022 Week 3 NFL Pick
Buffalo Bills (2-0) at Miami Dolphins (2-0) Coming into the season, I considered the Dolphins overrated. They thought they’d be significantly better on offense than a year ago, with Tua Tagovailoa going into his third season, with Tyreek Hill and Cedrick Wilson being added to his receiving corps, Chase Edmonds…