-
Continue reading →: Los Angeles Chargers at Cleveland Browns: 2022 Week 5 NFL Pick
Los Angeles Chargers (2-2) at Cleveland Browns (2-2) The Browns lost last week in Atlanta, but that wasn’t that surprising as the Falcons are a competitive, if underwhelming team and the Browns were missing key players on defense, most notably Myles Garrett, arguably the best edge defender in the league.…
-
Continue reading →: Miami Dolphins at New York Jets: 2022 Week 5 NFL Pick
Miami Dolphins (3-1) at New York Jets (2-2) The Dolphins are 3-1, with their only loss coming on a short week last week in Cincinnati after beginning the year as the last undefeated AFC team, but they haven’t been as good as that suggests, as one of their wins came…
-
Continue reading →: Pittsburgh Steelers at Buffalo Bills: 2022 Week 5 NFL Pick
Pittsburgh Steelers (1-3) at Buffalo Bills (3-1) The Bills won a close game over the Ravens last week, but that was an anomaly for this team over the past two seasons, as they previously were 0-7 in one-score games since the start of last season, including playoffs. The flip side…
-
Continue reading →: San Francisco 49ers at Carolina Panthers: 2022 Week 5 NFL Pick
San Francisco 49ers (2-2) at Carolina Panthers (1-3) This is one of the more surprising lines of the week, with the Panthers going from being just 3-point home underdogs against the 49ers on the early line last week to now 6.5-point home underdogs, following the 49ers’ 15-point home victory over…
-
Continue reading →: New York Giants vs. Green Bay Packers: 2022 Week 5 NFL Pick
New York Giants (3-1) vs. Green Bay Packers (3-1) vs. London The Giants are 3-1, but they haven’t been overly impressive, with all of their wins being close and their schedule being one of the easiest in the league thus far. In terms of schedule adjusted efficiency, the Giants rank…
-
Continue reading →: Indianapolis Colts at Denver Broncos: 2022 Week 5 NFL Pick
Indianapolis Colts (1-2-1) at Denver Broncos (2-2) Normally I like to take non-divisional home favorites on Thursdays, as teams tend to be at a serious disadvantage if they have to travel on the road to face a non-divisional opponent that is comparable to or better than them. As a result,…
-
Continue reading →: 2022 Week 4 NFL Picks
Pick of the Week TB +1 vs. KC High Confidence NA Medium Confidence CIN -4 vs. MIA PHI -6.5 vs. JAX NYG -3 vs. CHI MIN -3 vs. NO SEA +3.5 @ DET Low Confidence TEN +3.5 @ IND GB -9.5 vs. NE HOU +6 vs. LAC CAR PK vs.…
-
Continue reading →: Los Angeles Rams at San Francisco 49ers: 2022 Week 4 NFL Pick
Los Angeles Rams (2-1) at San Francisco 49ers (1-2) The 49ers have been hit hard by injuries as much as any team in the league. In total, they are without top interior defender Arik Armstead, rotational interior defender Javon Kinlaw, talented safety Jimmie Ward, rotational linebacker Azeez Al-Shaair, starting center…
-
Continue reading →: Washington Commanders at Dallas Cowboys: 2022 Week 4 NFL Pick
Washington Commanders (1-2) at Dallas Cowboys (2-1) The Cowboys’ season seemed over in week 1, when Dak Prescott suffered a multi-week injury in a blowout loss at home to the Buccaneers, but they’ve won back-to-back games with backup quarterback Mike White and, while he might not continue to play quite…
-
Continue reading →: New York Jets at Pittsburgh Steelers: 2022 Week 4 NFL Pick
New York Jets (1-2) at Pittsburgh Steelers (1-2) I’ve mentioned before that +3.5 covers the spread more than any other number, doing so 53.0% of the time, which is actually a profitable winning percentage even with the vig. That’s because of how many games are decided by exactly 3 points,…
-
Subscribe
Subscribed
Have a WordPress.com account? Log in now.
