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Continue reading →: 2026 Week 1 NFL Picks (Recommended Bets)
New Orleans Saints (0-0) at Detroit Lions (0-0) The Lions are a good bet to win significantly more games than they did a year ago. Their schedule is much easier than a year ago. They were better than their record last season, ranking 5th in schedule adjusted efficiency and 5th…
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Continue reading →: 2026 Week 1 NFL Picks
You may have noticed a big change to my picks this year. For the first time ever, my medium confidence and higher picks (my recommended bets) will be behind a paywall. This was not an easy decision, but my wife and I are expecting a baby girl and I can…
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Continue reading →: San Francisco 49ers vs. Los Angeles Rams: 2026 Week 1 NFL Pick
San Francisco 49ers (0-0) vs. Los Angeles Rams (0-0) Typically, the rule of thumb in international games is to take the favorite, as the better team tends to be better prepared for playing in an abnormal situation. Favorites are 40-23-1 ATS all-time in international games, including 25-11 ATS as favorites…
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Continue reading →: New England Patriots at Seattle Seahawks: 2026 Week 1 NFL Pick
New England Patriots (0-0) at Seattle Seahawks (0-0) When these two teams met in the Super Bowl at the end of last season, the game was not particularly close, with the Seahawks winning by 16. However, this time around, I expect the margin to be smaller. The Patriots now have…
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Continue reading →: 2026 NFL Season Previews
AFC East Buffalo Bills 13-4* New England Patriots 10-7* New York Jets 4-13 Miami Dolphins 2-15 AFC North Baltimore Ravens 13-4* Cincinnati Bengals 10-7* Pittsburgh Steelers 9-8 Cleveland Browns 3-14 AFC South Indianapolis Colts 10-7* Jacksonville Jaguars 9-8 Houston Texans 8-9 Tennessee Titans 4-13 AFC West Kansas City Chiefs 11-6*…
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Continue reading →: New England Patriots 2026 NFL Season Preview
Quarterback The Patriots went 14-3 last season and went to the Super Bowl, but they got a lot of criticism for their regular season strength of schedule, which was by far the easiest in the league, and for the fact that they faced teams missing key players in the AFC…