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Continue reading →: Pittsburgh Steelers at Buffalo Bills: 2021 Week 1 NFL Pick
Pittsburgh Steelers (0-0) at Buffalo Bills (0-0) The Steelers won 12 games last season, but their offense was a big problem, as they ranked 28th in first down rate over expected at -2.83%. Many are expecting them to be better on offense, after using their first round pick on running…
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Continue reading →: Los Angeles Chargers at Washington Football Team: 2021 Week 1 NFL Pick
Los Angeles Chargers (0-0) at Washington Football Team (0-0) The Chargers are a bit of an overrated team coming into the season. They should be better on the offensive line and in the running game this season, to complement their impressive passing offense, led by quarterback Justin Herbert, but they’re…
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Continue reading →: Minnesota Vikings at Cincinnati Bengals: 2021 Week 1 NFL Pick
Minnesota Vikings (0-0) at Cincinnati Bengals (0-0) The Vikings were one of my underrated teams coming into the season, as they won 7 games last season despite a horrendous defense, which should be significantly better in 2021, with Danielle Hunter, Michael Pierce, Anthony Barr, and Eric Kendricks returning from significant…
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Continue reading →: Chicago Bears at Los Angeles Rams: 2021 Week 1 NFL Pick
Chicago Bears (0-0) at Los Angeles Rams (0-0) The Rams are one of the more overrated teams coming into the season. Matt Stafford obviously elevates this offense, but they still have concerns on the offensive line and in the running game, while their defense is unlikely to be as good…
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Continue reading →: Arizona Cardinals at Tennessee Titans: 2021 Week 1 NFL Pick
Arizona Cardinals (0-0) at Tennessee Titans (0-0) This line favors the Titans by a field goal at home, suggesting these two teams are about equal, with the Titans possibly being the slightly higher ranked team by the oddsmakers. I think this line is off. These two teams were about even…
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Continue reading →: San Francisco 49ers at Detroit Lions: 2021 Week 1 NFL Pick
San Francisco 49ers (0-0) at Detroit Lions (0-0) Most are expecting a bounce back year from the 49ers, who fell to 6-10 in 2020 after a series of devastating injuries depleted the roster of a 13-3 team the year prior, but I still think the 49ers are underrated, as they…
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Continue reading →: Dallas Cowboys at Tampa Bay Buccaneers: 2021 Week 1 NFL Pick
Dallas Cowboys (0-0) at Tampa Bay Buccaneers (0-0) I have the Cowboys winning the NFC East and improving on their 6-10 record from a year ago because of their better health on offense, including the return of Dak Prescott and his top-3 offensive linemen, who all missed significant time last…
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Continue reading →: 2021 NFL Season Previews
AFC East Buffalo Bills 13-4 New England Patriots 13-4 Miami Dolphins 6-11 New York Jets 4-13 AFC North Baltimore Ravens 12-5 Cleveland Browns 12-5 Pittsburgh Steelers 6-11 Cincinnati Bengals 6-11 AFC South Indianapolis Colts 10-7 Tennessee Titans 9-8 Jacksonville Jaguars 6-11 Houston Texans 2-15 AFC West Kansas City Chiefs 14-3…
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Continue reading →: Which stats are most predictable and predictive?
Throughout my season previews and my picks during the season, I refer to certain statistics as being either predictive, predictable, or not. I wanted to discuss what I mean by that and put all my supporting statistical evidence in one place. First, let’s define some terms. Predictability is probably the…
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Continue reading →: Green Bay Packers 2021 NFL Season Preview
Quarterback This is the last team preview I have to do and I saved the Packers for last for good reason, as they have the biggest unresolved quarterback situation in the league. The story is well known by now, but Rodgers overshadowed the NFL draft itself when reports leaked earlier…
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