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Continue reading →: 2016 Week 11 NFL Pick Results
Week 11 Straight Up: 9-5 Against the spread: 5-9 Pick of the Week: 0-1 High Confidence: 0-2 Medium Confidence: 3-1 Low Confidence: 1-2 No Confidence: 1-3 Upset Picks: 0-3 Season Straight Up: 98-61-2 (61.64%) Against the spread: 74-79-8 (48.37%) Pick of the Week: 8-3 (72.73%) High Confidence: 9-9-2 (50.00%) Medium…
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Continue reading →: Miami Dolphins at Los Angeles Rams: 2016 Week 11 NFL Pick
Miami Dolphins (5-4) at Los Angeles Rams (4-5) Despite a few wins, the Rams are one of the worst teams in the league. Their 4 wins have come by a combined 18 points, with none coming by more than 6 points, while their 5 losses have come by 52 points,…
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Continue reading →: Chicago Bears at New York Giants: 2016 Week 11 NFL Pick
Chicago Bears (2-7) at New York Giants (6-3) This is one of the games I’m torn on this week. On one hand, the Giants are the significantly superior team and they have an easy upcoming game, a trip to Cleveland to take on the winless Browns, so they don’t have…
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Continue reading →: Pittsburgh Steelers at Cleveland Browns: 2016 Week 11 NFL Pick
Pittsburgh Steelers (4-5) at Cleveland Browns (0-10) The Browns are in a tough spot here. They are 9 point home underdogs here against the Steelers and figure to be big home underdogs again next week when they host the 6-3 Giants. Teams are 38-90 ATS since 2012 before being home…
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Continue reading →: Buffalo Bills at Cincinnati Bengals: 2016 Week 11 NFL Pick
Buffalo Bills (4-5) at Cincinnati Bengals (3-5-1) This line has shifted from 4.5 in favor of the Bengals on the early line last week to 3 in the past week, a huge shift considering about 3 in 10 games are decided by 4 points or fewer and about 1 in…
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Continue reading →: New England Patriots at San Francisco 49ers: 2016 Week 11 NFL Pick
New England Patriots (7-2) at San Francisco 49ers (1-8) The Patriots lost last week at home to the Seattle Seahawks. It was just their 2nd loss of the season, but there’s reason for concern. The Patriots’ defense got gashed all game in their first game since the controversial Jamie Collins…
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Continue reading →: Baltimore Ravens at Dallas Cowboys: 2016 Week 11 NFL Pick
Baltimore Ravens (5-4) at Dallas Cowboys (8-1) The Cowboys pulled off a huge upset victory in Pittsburgh last week to improve to 8-1, the only team in the entire NFL with only one loss. Now they are 7.5 point favorites here at home over the Ravens and the early line…
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Continue reading →: Houston Texans vs. Oakland Raiders: 2016 Week 11 NFL Pick
Houston Texans (6-3) vs. Oakland Raiders (7-2) in Mexico City The Texans are 6-3, but rank just 26th in first down rate differential. That’s because their 5 wins have come by a combined 36 points, while their 3 losses have come by a combined 63 points. Their -27 point differential…
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Continue reading →: Green Bay Packers at Washington Redskins: 2016 Week 11 NFL Pick
Green Bay Packers (4-5) at Washington Redskins (5-3-1) The common narrative is that the sky is falling for the Packers right now, following 3 straight losses and a 47-25 thrashing in Tennessee last week. However, their loss in Atlanta came by 1 point, on the road, against one of the…
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Continue reading →: Arizona Cardinals at Minnesota Vikings: 2016 Week 11 NFL Pick
Arizona Cardinals (4-4-1) at Minnesota Vikings (5-4) When the Vikings were 5-0 on the strength of a +11 turnover margin and a +4 return touchdown margin, two things that tend to be unsustainable, I thought they were the most overrated team in the league. Since then, they’ve lost 4 straight…
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