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Continue reading →: Cleveland Browns at Tennessee Titans: 2016 Week 6 NFL Pick
Cleveland Browns (0-5) at Tennessee Titans (2-3) Ordinarily, I like to go against significant week-to-week line movements, because they tend to be overreactions to a single week of play. The early line for this game had the Titans as 5.5 point favorites, but the line has since moved up to…
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Continue reading →: Jacksonville Jaguars at Chicago Bears: 2016 Week 6 NFL Pick
Jacksonville Jaguars (1-3) at Chicago Bears (1-4) This one is tough. Despite similar records and arguably similar levels of talent, the Bears have significantly outplayed the Jaguars through the first 5 weeks of the season. Despite a ton of injuries (Pernell McPhee, Eddie Goldman, Kevin White, LaMarr Houston, Kyle Fuller,…
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Continue reading →: Pittsburgh Steelers at Miami Dolphins: 2016 Week 6 NFL Pick
Pittsburgh Steelers (4-1) at Miami Dolphins (1-4) One of my favorite things to do as a bettor is go against significant week-to-week line movements, as they tend to be overreactions to a single week of play. This game has one, as the Steelers were 4.5 point road favorites on the…
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Continue reading →: Kansas City Chiefs at Oakland Raiders: 2016 Week 6 NFL Pick
Kansas City Chiefs (2-2) at Oakland Raiders (4-1) This is easily the most confusing line of the week. I’ve had the Raiders on my underrated list since the start of the season and I still think they have one of the more talented rosters in the NFL, even if they…
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Continue reading →: Denver Broncos at San Diego Chargers: 2016 Week 6 NFL Pick
Denver Broncos (4-1) at San Diego Chargers (1-4) Going into the season, I had the Chargers on my underrated list. They went 4-12 in 2015, but that was largely a result of bad injury luck and a poor record in close games (3-9 in games decided by 8 points or…
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Continue reading →: Tampa Bay Buccaneers at Carolina Panthers: 2016 Week 5 NFL Pick
Tampa Bay Buccaneers (1-3) at Carolina Panthers (1-3) Both of these two teams enter this game incredibly banged up. The Buccaneers are missing their two top running backs (Doug Martin and Charles Sims), their top two defensive linemen (Gerald McCoy and Robert Ayers), and starting defensive tackle Clinton McDonald. The…
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Continue reading →: Washington Redskins at Baltimore Ravens: 2016 Week 5 NFL Pick
Washington Redskins (2-2) at Baltimore Ravens (3-1) This is a line that doesn’t make a ton of sense, as the Ravens are mere 3.5 point home favorites for the Redskins. The Ravens are 3-1 on the thanks to 3 straight wins to start the season. None of those opponents were…
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Continue reading →: Cincinnati Bengals at Dallas Cowboys: 2016 Week 5 NFL Pick
Cincinnati Bengals (2-2) at Dallas Cowboys (3-1) The Cowboys have gone 3-1 to start the season, but have played a pretty easy schedule so far. They’ve beaten up on the Bears and 49ers in the past two weeks, two of the worst teams in the league, and their toughest games…
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Continue reading →: New York Giants at Green Bay Packers: 2016 Week 5 NFL Pick
New York Giants (2-2) at Green Bay Packers (2-1) This one I’m torn on. On one hand, the Giants are 62-42 ATS as road underdogs since 2004 and they’re in their 2nd of two road games, which is even better. Teams are 131-98 ATS as road underdogs off a road…
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Continue reading →: Chicago Bears at Indianapolis Colts: 2016 Week 5 NFL Pick
Chicago Bears (1-3) at Indianapolis Colts (1-3) The Colts played in London last week, losing 30-27 to the previously winless Jaguars. The Jaguars have a bye this week, but the Colts are the first team in NFL history to play a game the week after playing an overseas game. I…
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