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Continue reading →: San Diego Chargers at Oakland Raiders: 2016 Week 5 NFL Pick
San Diego Chargers (1-3) at Oakland Raiders (3-1) Going into the season, I had the Chargers on my underrated list. They went 4-12 in 2015, but that was largely a result of bad injury luck and a poor record in close games (3-9 in games decided by 8 points or…
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Continue reading →: New York Jets at Pittsburgh Steelers: 2016 Week 5 NFL Pick
New York Jets (1-3) at Pittsburgh Steelers (3-1) The Steelers slipped up week 3 in Philadelphia, losing 34-3, but bounced back in a huge way last week, blowing out the Chiefs 43-14 on Sunday Night Football. That Philadelphia game was likely a fluke. The Eagles are a good team, but…
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Continue reading →: Atlanta Falcons at Denver Broncos: 2016 Week 5 NFL Pick
Atlanta Falcons (3-1) at Denver Broncos (4-0) The Broncos were on my overrated teams list before the season, but they’ve proven me wrong thus far this season. After winning just 4 total games by more than a touchdown last season (including playoffs), I said the Broncos would have to play…
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Continue reading →: New England Patriots at Cleveland Browns: 2016 Week 5 NFL Pick
New England Patriots (3-1) at Cleveland Browns (0-4) Tom Brady is back from his 4-game suspension and the Patriots are healthier than they have been all season around him, especially with Rob Gronkowski looking like he’s finally healthy enough to be a factor in the passing game, after largely blocking…
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Continue reading →: Buffalo Bills at Los Angeles Rams: 2016 Week 5 NFL Pick
Buffalo Bills (2-2) at Los Angeles Rams (3-1) Both of these teams had rough starts and then came roaring back. The Bills dropped their first two games, including a home loss on Thursday night to the divisional rival Jets, but fired their offensive coordinator after week 2 and seem to…
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Continue reading →: Philadelphia Eagles at Detroit Lions: 2016 Week 5 NFL Pick
Philadelphia Eagles (3-0) at Detroit Lions (1-3) Coming into the season, I had the Eagles atop my underrated teams list. I bet on them in each of their first 3 games, first as mere 3.5 point home favorites against the lowly Bears, then as 3.5 point road underdogs against the…
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Continue reading →: Tennessee Titans at Miami Dolphins: 2016 Week 5 NFL Pick
Tennessee Titans (1-3) at Miami Dolphins (1-3) The Dolphins are 3.5 point favorites here at home against the Titans, but have a much tougher game on deck, as they have to turn around and host the Pittsburgh Steelers. The early line has them as 4.5 point underdogs. Teams are 51-95…
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Continue reading →: Houston Texans at Minnesota Vikings: 2016 Week 5 NFL Pick
Houston Texans (3-1) at Minnesota Vikings (4-0) The Vikings are the NFC’s only 4-0 team (the Eagles are 3-0), on the strength of a +10 turnover margin and a +3 return touchdown margin. That’s very impressive, but it’s also unsustainable. In fact, there’s almost no week-to-week correlation in turnover margins;…
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Continue reading →: Arizona Cardinals at San Francisco 49ers: 2016 Week 5 NFL Pick
Arizona Cardinals (1-3) at San Francisco 49ers (1-3) After last week’s home loss to the Los Angeles Rams, the perception of the Cardinals right now is that the sky is falling for them. However, they’re a couple plays away from being 3-1, as two of their losses came by a…
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Continue reading →: Seattle Seahawks at New York Jets: 2016 Week 4 NFL Pick
Seattle Seahawks (2-1) at New York Jets (1-2) I’m torn on this one. The Jets turned the ball over a ridiculous 8 times last week, but still were in the game against Kansas City until late. In fact, they only allowed one offensive touchdown all game. The Seahawks have played…
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