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Continue reading →: San Francisco 49ers at Buffalo Bills: 2016 Week 6 NFL Pick
San Francisco 49ers (1-4) at Buffalo Bills (3-2) The Bills have bounced back in a big way from an 0-2 start. After losing at home to the Jets on Thursday Night week 2, the Bills fired offensive coordinator Greg Roman, which appeared to be a desperation move at the time.…
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Continue reading →: Philadelphia Eagles at Washington Redskins: 2016 Week 6 NFL Pick
Philadelphia Eagles (3-1) at Washington Redskins (3-2) This line was even last week, but has since shifted a full three points, with the Eagles now favored by a field goal in Washington, despite the fact that Philadelphia lost in Detroit and Washington won in Baltimore. Ordinarily, I like to fade…
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Continue reading →: Baltimore Ravens at New York Giants: 2016 Week 6 NFL Pick
Baltimore Ravens (3-2) at New York Giants (2-3) This line has shifted a half point since the early line last week, as the Giants are now 3.5 point favorites. That might not seem like a huge line movement, but, considering 1 in 6 games are decided by exactly a field…
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Continue reading →: Houston Texans at Indianapolis Colts: 2016 Week 6 NFL Pick
Indianapolis Colts (2-3) at Houston Texans (3-2) The early line had the Texans as 3.5 point home favorites here over the Colts, but the line has been at 3 this week. That’s only a half point, but considering 1 in 6 games are decided by exactly a field goal and…
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Continue reading →: Carolina Panthers at New Orleans Saints: 2016 Week 6 NFL Pick
Carolina Panthers (1-4) at New Orleans Saints (1-3) The Panthers have had a rough start to their season to say the least. A year after losing just one regular season game en route to a Super Bowl appearance, the Panthers have started 1-4 and have a big uphill climb to…
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Continue reading →: Los Angeles Rams at Detroit Lions: 2016 Week 6 NFL Pick
Los Angeles Rams (3-2) at Detroit Lions (2-3) This line at 3 suggests these two teams are equal. I disagree with that. Despite, having a worse record than the Rams, the Lions are the significantly superior team in this matchup. Despite having three wins, the Rams rank dead last in…
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Continue reading →: Dallas Cowboys at Green Bay Packers: 2016 Week 6 NFL Pick
Dallas Cowboys (4-1) at Green Bay Packers (3-1) The Cowboys pulled an impressive home upset victory over the Cincinnati Bengals last week, winning 28-14. Ordinarily, teams struggle after a home upset victory, as teams are 53-77 ATS in that spot since 2012. One of the reasons for that is home…
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Continue reading →: New York Jets at Arizona Cardinals: 2016 Week 6 NFL Pick
New York Jets (1-4) at Arizona Cardinals (2-3) This is a tough one. On one hand, the Cardinals were 6.5 point favorites on the early line last week and now are 8 point favorites, so we’ve lost value with them in the last week. Meanwhile, the Jets are in a…
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Continue reading →: Atlanta Falcons at Seattle Seahawks: 2016 Week 6 NFL Pick
Atlanta Falcons (4-1) at Seattle Seahawks (3-1) The Falcons have started an impressive 4-1, with wins over Oakland, Carolina, and Denver, three tough football teams. Last week, they beat the Broncos by a touchdown in Denver, as 4 point underdogs. This week, they’re 6.5 point underdogs in Seattle. The Seahawks…
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Continue reading →: Cincinnati Bengals at New England Patriots: 2016 Week 6 NFL Pick
Cincinnati Bengals (2-3) at New England Patriots (4-1) The Patriots got a big 20 point win in Cleveland last week, while the Bengals lost by 14 points in Dallas. As a result, this line has moved from 7 on the early line last week to 9 this week. I think…