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Continue reading →: Kansas City Chiefs at Pittsburgh Steelers: 2016 Week 4 NFL Pick
Kansas City Chiefs (2-1) at Pittsburgh Steelers (2-1) The Steelers lost last week in Philadelphia 34-3, their biggest loss since 1989. It was also just the 15th time since 2003 that a favorite lost by 31 points or more. Obviously, the Steelers should not have been 4 point road favorites…
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Continue reading →: Detroit Lions at Chicago Bears: 2016 Week 4 NFL Pick
Detroit Lions (1-2) at Chicago Bears (0-3) Both of these teams enter this one incredibly banged up. While the Lions are missing two of their top three defensive players, linebacker DeAndre Levy and defensive end Ezekiel Ansah, the Bears’ injuries are more numerous. Not only are they missing quarterback Jay…
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Continue reading →: Carolina Panthers at Atlanta Falcons: 2016 Week 4 NFL Pick
Carolina Panthers (1-2) at Atlanta Falcons (2-1) This line was 4 a week ago on the early line, but has since fallen to 3. That’s significant because about 1 in 6 games are decided by exactly a field goal. The line movement makes some sense, as the Panthers lost at…
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Continue reading →: Denver Broncos at Tampa Bay Buccaneers: 2016 Week 4 NFL Pick
Denver Broncos (3-0) at Tampa Bay Buccaneers (1-2) One of my favorite things to do as a bettor is go against significant week-to-week line movements. In this game, the Buccaneers were 1.5 point home underdogs last week on the early line, but now are 3 point home underdogs. That’s significant…
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Continue reading →: New York Giants at Minnesota Vikings: 2016 Week 4 NFL Pick
New York Giants (2-1) at Minnesota Vikings (3-0) The Vikings are the most overrated of the remaining undefeated teams. They’ve played a tough schedule, including wins over Green Bay and Carolina, but they haven’t won the rate of moving the chains battle in any of their three games. In fact,…
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Continue reading →: Oakland Raiders at Baltimore Ravens: 2016 Week 4 NFL Pick
Oakland Raiders (2-1) at Baltimore Ravens (3-0) This line was as high as 5 earlier this week, but a ton of sharp action on the underdog Raiders drove the line down quickly and now it’s at 3. We’ve lost a lot of line value. That being said, I’m still on…
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Continue reading →: New Orleans Saints at San Diego Chargers: 2016 Week 4 NFL Pick
New Orleans Saints (0-3) at San Diego Chargers (1-2) Last year, the Chargers went 4-12, thanks in large part to a lot of close losses and a lot of injuries. These things tend to average out in the long run, but so far this year they have not for the…
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Continue reading →: Indianapolis Colts vs Jacksonville Jaguars: 2016 Week 4 NFL Pick
Indianapolis Colts (1-2) vs Jacksonville Jaguars (0-3) at London Both of these teams come to London much healthier than they’ve been all season. Defensive end Jared Odrick remains out for the Jaguars for the second straight game, but they get back cornerback Prince Amukamara, left tackle Kelvin Beachum, and center…
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Continue reading →: Cleveland Browns at Washington Redskins: 2016 Week 4 NFL Pick
Cleveland Browns (0-3) at Washington Redskins (1-2) The Browns are coming off of a road overtime loss. Typically, teams do not do well off of a road overtime loss, but the Browns are lucky because they’re in their second of two road games here. Teams are 131-95 ATS as road…
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Continue reading →: Dallas Cowboys at San Francisco 49ers: 2016 Week 4 NFL Pick
Dallas Cowboys (2-1) at San Francisco 49ers (1-2) The Cowboys are pretty banged up coming into this one. Not only is top receiver Dez Bryant likely out in this one, they’re also expected to be without left tackle Tyron Smith and left guard La’El Collins. They are expected to get…
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