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Continue reading →: Houston Texans at New York Giants: 2014 Week 3 NFL Pick
Houston Texans (2-0) at New York Giants (0-2) The Texans are one of three 2-0 teams that I think are fraudulent, along with the Bills and the Cardinals. The Bills are 30th in rate of moving the chains differential. The Cardinals barely beat the Chargers and then won here against…
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Continue reading →: Baltimore Ravens at Cleveland Browns: 2014 Week 3 NFL Pick
Baltimore Ravens (1-1) at Cleveland Browns (1-1) The Ravens are generally not as good on the road as at home, going 42-10 at home since the start of the John Harbaugh/Joe Flacco era, outscoring opponents by an average of 9.96 points per game, as opposed to 30-29 on the road,…
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Continue reading →: Chicago Bears at New York Jets: 2014 Week 3 NFL Pick
Chicago Bears (1-1) at New York Jets (1-1) The Jets are 2.5 point favorites here, but the public is still all over the Bears, suggesting that most people think the Bears are going to pull the upset. Usually when the majority of people think there will be an upset, it…
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Continue reading →: Kansas City Chiefs at Miami Dolphins: 2014 Week 3 NFL Pick
Kansas City Chiefs (0-2) at Miami Dolphins (1-1) One of my favorites trends involves road underdogs off of a road loss. Teams are 101-67 ATS in that situation since 2008, including 86-45 ATS when it’s their 2nd straight road game and they next play a home game. Historically, teams cover…
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Continue reading →: Dallas Cowboys at St. Louis Rams: 2014 Week 3 NFL Pick
St. Louis Rams (1-1) at Dallas Cowboys (1-1) This game is relatively meaningless for the Cowboys as compared to next week’s game against the Saints in Dallas. Teams are 74-117 ATS as road favorites before being home underdogs since 1989, including 20-39 ATS when both games are non-divisional. They could…
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Continue reading →: Oakland Raiders at New England Patriots: 2014 Week 3 NFL Pick
Oakland Raiders (0-2) at New England Patriots (1-1) The trends say that the Patriots should be the right side, as they have another easy game coming up in Kansas City next week, while the Raiders host the Dolphins next week. Teams are 68-44 ATS since 2012 before being 3+ point…
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Continue reading →: Denver Broncos at Seattle Seahawks: 2014 Week 3 NFL Pick
Denver Broncos (2-0) at Seattle Seahawks (1-1) The Seahawks are usually at auto-bet at home. Since 2007, the Seahawks are 42-19 at home, including playoffs and they aren’t just having success straight up as they are 41-19-1 ATS. They outscore opponents on average by 7.75 points per game. This is…
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Continue reading →: San Francisco 49ers at Arizona Cardinals: 2014 Week 3 NFL Pick
San Francisco 49ers (1-1) at Arizona Cardinals (2-0) With the exception of last week’s epic debacle against the Bears, the 49ers generally are good at beating up on weaker opponents. They are 24-13 ATS as favorites of 3 or more since 2011. Last season, against teams that finished .500 or…
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Continue reading →: Pittsburgh Steelers at Carolina Panthers: 2014 Week 3 NFL Pick
Pittsburgh Steelers (1-1) at Carolina Panthers (2-0) The Steelers are in the better spot here. The Panthers have to travel to Baltimore next week, while the Steelers just have to deal with Tampa Bay in Pittsburgh. Baltimore isn’t an incredible opponent, but the Panthers will still be underdogs, while the…
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Continue reading →: San Diego Chargers at Buffalo Bills: 2014 Week 3 NFL Pick
San Diego Chargers (1-1) at Buffalo Bills (2-0) The Bills are 2-0 and they’ve been very good at home over the past two seasons, going 7-1 ATS in the city of Buffalo since the start of the 2013 season and 8-1 ATS in their last 9 home games. The Chargers,…
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