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Continue reading →: New York Giants at Detroit Lions: 2014 Week 1 NFL Pick
New York Giants (0-0) at Detroit Lions (0-0) I feel the same way about the Lions as I did about the Panthers last season, when I predicted they would go 12-4, win the NFC South, and get a first round bye. They were 6th in rate of moving the chains differential…
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Continue reading →: San Diego Chargers at Arizona Cardinals: 2014 Week 1 NFL Pick
San Diego Chargers (0-0) at Arizona Cardinals (0-0) It’s hard to find a team that has lost as much talent since the last time we played football as the Cardinals, particularly defensively. Karlos Dansby is gone as a free agent. Daryl Washington was suspended for the season. Darnell Dockett is…
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Continue reading →: San Francisco 49ers at Dallas Cowboys: 2014 Week 1 NFL Pick
San Francisco 49ers (0-0) at Dallas Cowboys (0-0) This is another one I’m kicking myself for not betting earlier. The 49ers opened as favorites of less than a field goal here in Dallas, but the public seems to have caught on that the Cowboys are going to be awful this…
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Continue reading →: Tennessee Titans at Kansas City Chiefs: 2014 Week 1 NFL Pick
Tennessee Titans (0-0) at Kansas City Chiefs (0-0) This is one of a few plays that I’m really disappointed I didn’t get in earlier. The Chiefs used to be 6 point favorites and there was obvious value with Tennessee in that situation. The Chiefs are not going to be nearly…
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Continue reading →: Top-200 NFL Players: 1-25 (2014)
1. DE JJ Watt (Houston) Watt didn’t get the attention he got in 2012 with 21 sacks on a 12 win team, when he won Defensive Player of the Year in his 2nd year in the league, but he arguably had a better season, even though he only had 11 sacks…
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Continue reading →: Top-200 NFL Players: 26-50 (2014)
26. OT Joe Staley (San Francisco) Joe Staley was a dominant left tackle last season. He wasn’t the #1 ranked offensive tackle he was in 2012, but he still ranked 5th at his position. The 2007 1st round pick has graded out above average in 6 of 7 seasons since being drafted,…
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Continue reading →: Green Bay Packers at Seattle Seahawks: 2014 Week 1 NFL Pick
Green Bay Packers (0-0) at Seattle Seahawks (0-0) I love betting the Seahawks at home. Since 2007, the Seahawks are 41-19 at home, including playoffs and they aren’t just having success straight up as they are 40-19-1 ATS. They outscore opponents on average by 7.55 points per game. This is…
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Continue reading →: Top-200 NFL Players: 51-75 (2014)
51. S Earl Thomas (Seattle) Some people consider Earl Thomas the top safety in the NFL. Thomas has never graded out higher than 8th among safeties on Pro Football Focus, doing so in 2011, and finishing 10th in 2013, including 4th in pure coverage grade. There’s something to be said for…
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Continue reading →: Top-200 NFL Players: 76-100 (2014)
76. OT Nate Solder (New England) Nate Solder will continue to start at left tackle for the Patriots. The 2011 1st round was Pro Football Focus’ 17th ranked offensive tackle in his first year as a starter in 2012 and then took it to the next level in 2013, grading out 9th.…
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Continue reading →: Top-200 NFL Players: 101-125 (2014)
101. WR Dez Bryant (Dallas) Dez Bryant is the leader of the Cowboys’ receiving corps, though he’s not quite as good as his numbers would suggest. He was Pro Football Focus’ 24th ranked wide receiver in pass catching grade in 2010 as a first round rookie, 12th in 2011, 40th in 2012, and…
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