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Continue reading →: Seattle Seahawks at Los Angeles Rams: 2022 Week 13 NFL Pick
Seattle Seahawks (6-5) at Los Angeles Rams (3-8) It’s hard to remember a team declining as much the year after winning the Super Bowl as the now 3-8 Rams, but it’s also hard to remember a team losing as many key players to injury as the Rams have this year.…
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Continue reading →: Buffalo Bills at New England Patriots: 2022 Week 13 NFL Pick
Buffalo Bills (8-3) at New England Patriots (6-5) Throughout the 2021 season and through the first two games of this season, when the Bills won, they always won big, winning 14 straight games by 12 points or more, with an average margin of victory of 23.4 points per game, while…
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Continue reading →: 2022 Week 12 NFL Picks
Pick of the Week PHI -6.5 vs. GB High Confidence Picks CLE +3.5 vs. TB BAL -3 @ JAX Medium Confidence Picks CIN -2.5 @ TEN HOU +14 @ MIA Low Confidence Picks SEA -3.5 vs. LV PIT +2.5 @ IND ATL +4 @ WAS NYJ -5.5 vs. CHI MIN…
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Continue reading →: Pittsburgh Steelers at Indianapolis Colts: 2022 Week 12 NFL Pick
Pittsburgh Steelers (3-7) at Indianapolis Colts (4-6-1) A week ago on the early line, the Steelers were 3-point underdogs, but this line has since shifted to 2.5, a pretty significant shift, given that about 1 in 6 games are decided by exactly a field goal. Normally I like to go…
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Continue reading →: Las Vegas Raiders at Seattle Seahawks: 2022 Week 12 NFL Pick
Las Vegas Raiders (3-7) at Seattle Seahawks (6-4) This game is tough to predict without knowing the status of a pair of key players on the Raiders who seem like legitimate gametime decisions, feature back Josh Jacobs and top cornerback Nate Hobbs. If both players are out, the Seahawks shouldn’t…
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Continue reading →: New Orleans Saints at San Francisco 49ers: 2022 Week 12 NFL Pick
New Orleans Saints (4-7) at San Francisco 49ers (6-4) The 49ers are just 6-4, but there’s an argument to be made that they’re the best team in the NFC and they look like one of the top few Super Bowl contenders overall. They rank 5th in both point differential (+63)…
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Continue reading →: Los Angeles Rams at Kansas City Chiefs: 2022 Week 12 NFL Pick
Los Angeles Rams (3-7) at Kansas City Chiefs (8-2) Entering the season as defending Super Bowl Champions, few expected the Rams would be 15.5-point underdogs at any point this season, but that’s where we’re at right now, due to all of the injuries suffered by the Rams’ offense. Already missing…
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Continue reading →: Denver Broncos at Carolina Panthers: 2022 Week 12 NFL Pick
Denver Broncos (3-7) at Carolina Panthers (3-8) These two teams are pretty similar. Both have among the worst offenses in the league, with the Panthers ranking 31st in schedule adjusted offensive efficiency and the Broncos ranking 32nd. The Broncos’ offense is better in my roster rankings, as they have a…
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Continue reading →: Baltimore Ravens at Jacksonville Jaguars: 2022 Week 12 NFL Pick
Baltimore Ravens (7-3) at Jacksonville Jaguars (3-7) The Ravens have three losses, but all came by four points or fewer and all came after blowing 4th quarter leads, with the Ravens leading the league in percentage of time leading per game. In terms of point differential, the Ravens rank 7th…
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Continue reading →: Tampa Bay Buccaneers at Cleveland Browns: 2022 Week 12 NFL Pick
Tampa Bay Buccaneers (5-5) at Cleveland Browns (3-7) Typically significant road favorites cover at a high rate after a bye week, covering the spread 63.0% of the time as favorites of more than a field goal. At first glance, that would seem to apply to this game, with the Buccaneers…
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