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Continue reading →: Jacksonville Jaguars at Indianapolis Colts: 2019 Week 11 NFL Pick
Jacksonville Jaguars (4-5) at Indianapolis Colts (5-4) The Colts lost at home as double digit favorites to the Dolphins last week and, as a result, the line for their game this week against the Jaguars has shifted from Indianapolis -3.5 on the early line to -2.5 this week. That’s a…
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Continue reading →: Atlanta Falcons at Carolina Panthers: 2019 Week 11 NFL Pick
Atlanta Falcons (2-7) at Carolina Panthers (5-4) At 2-7, the Falcons have one of the worst records in the NFL, but peripheral stats have always suggested they’ve played better than the outcome of their games would suggest. Over the past couple weeks, the outcomes of their games have significantly improved,…
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Continue reading →: Pittsburgh Steelers at Cleveland Browns: 2019 Week 11 NFL Pick
Pittsburgh Steelers (5-4) at Cleveland Browns (3-6) This is going to be one of my lowest confidence picks of the week. Not only do I not have a strong lean either way, but Thursday games have been tough to predict this season, as I am just 2-7 ATS on Thursday…
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Continue reading →: 2019 Week 10 NFL Picks
Pick of the Week TEN +6 vs. KC High Confidence Picks GB -5 vs. CAR Medium Confidence Picks IND -10.5 vs. MIA DAL -3 vs. MIN BUF +3 @ CLE LAC -1 @ OAK Low Confidence Picks NYG -3 @ NYJ TB -4 vs. ARZ CIN +10.5 vs. BAL LAR…
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Continue reading →: Detroit Lions at Chicago Bears: 2019 Week 10 NFL Pick
Detroit Lions (3-4-1) at Chicago Bears (3-5) This line is currently off the board because of the uncertainty of Matt Stafford’s status, as Stafford is expected to be truly a gametime decision, playing through hip and back injuries that some have advised him to sit out and rest so he…
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Continue reading →: Atlanta Falcons at New Orleans Saints: 2019 Week 10 NFL Pick
Atlanta Falcons (1-7) at New Orleans Saints (7-1) This was one of the tougher games of the week to decide. On one hand, the Saints are arguably the top team in the league. They’ve gone 7-1, despite Drew Brees only playing about nine quarters all season. Their defense ranks 5th…
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Continue reading →: Seattle Seahawks at San Francisco 49ers: 2019 Week 10 NFL Pick
Seattle Seahawks (7-2) at San Francisco 49ers (8-0) The 49ers are the NFL’s lone undefeated team and have been every bit as impressive as that suggests. Their average margin of victory has been 16.63 points per game, with just two wins by one score or fewer. They haven’t overly benefitted…
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Continue reading →: Arizona Cardinals at Tampa Bay Buccaneers: 2019 Week 10 NFL Pick
Arizona Cardinals (3-5-1) at Tampa Bay Buccaneers (2-6) The Buccaneers are 2-6, but they’ve been competitive in most of their games, despite facing the 5th toughest schedule in the NFL in terms of DVOA (6 of 8 opponents are 5-3 or better). Only two of their six losses have come…
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Continue reading →: Los Angeles Rams at Pittsburgh Steelers: 2019 Week 10 NFL Pick
Los Angeles Rams (5-3) at Pittsburgh Steelers (4-4) The Steelers are 4-4, despite losing franchise quarterback Ben Roethlisberger for the season week 2. Even in their losses, they have been competitive, losing 3 of the 4 games by a combined 9 points, despite all 4 losses coming against teams that…
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Continue reading →: Minnesota Vikings at Dallas Cowboys: 2019 Week 10 NFL Pick
Minnesota Vikings (6-3) at Dallas Cowboys (5-3) The Cowboys have a solid 5-3 record, but I think they’re even better than that suggests. While their 3 losses have come by a combined 14 points, their 5 wins have come by a combined 99 points, giving them a point differential of…