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Continue reading →: New England Patriots at Washington Redskins: 2019 Week 5 NFL Pick
New England Patriots (4-0) at Washington Redskins (0-4) Ordinarily, the Redskins would be in a great spot to bet on this week. While the Patriots have to play again in 4 days on Thursday Night Football, the Redskins have the easiest game of their season on deck, a trip to…
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Continue reading →: Arizona Cardinals at Cincinnati Bengals: 2019 Week 5 NFL Pick
Arizona Cardinals (0-3-1) at Cincinnati Bengals (0-4) The Bengals were favored by 4 points on the early line last week and, despite getting blown out on Monday Night Football by the Mason Rudolph led Steelers, they still briefly opened as 3.5-point favorites this week, before the line quickly dropped to…
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Continue reading →: Jacksonville Jaguars at Carolina Panthers: 2019 Week 5 NFL Pick
Jacksonville Jaguars (2-2) at Carolina Panthers (2-2) These two teams are in very similar quarterback situations. Both have lost their starting quarterback indefinitely and have turned to a non-highly drafted backup that has thus far greatly exceeded expectations. The Jaguars are starting sixth round rookie Gardner Minshew, who has completed…
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Continue reading →: Baltimore Ravens at Pittsburgh Steelers: 2019 Week 5 NFL Pick
Baltimore Ravens (2-2) at Pittsburgh Steelers (1-3) The Ravens got off to a 2-0 start against still winless teams like the Dolphins and Cardinals, but have fallen back to earth against tougher competition, losing in Kansas City in a game in which they trailed by double digits for most of…
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Continue reading →: Atlanta Falcons at Houston Texans: 2019 Week 5 NFL Pick
Atlanta Falcons (1-3) at Houston Texans (2-2) The Falcons are just 1-3, but they should be better than that going forward. They have tied for the second worst turnover margin in the NFL at -5, but turnover margins tend to be very inconsistent on a week-to-week basis. Matt Ryan, who…
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Continue reading →: Los Angeles Rams at Seattle Seahawks: 2019 Week 5 NFL Pick
Los Angeles Rams (3-1) at Seattle Seahawks (3-1) It’s not unusual for favored teams to struggle the week before Thursday Night Football, as favorites cover the spread only at about a 43.6% rate all-time in that situation. The Seahawks took care of business last week in Arizona, winning by 17…
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Continue reading →: 2019 Week 4 NFL Picks
Pick of the Week DET +7 vs. KC High Confidence Picks CLE +7 @ BAL OAK +7 @ IND Medium Confidence Picks ARZ +5.5 vs. SEA DAL -2.5 @ NO Low Confidence Picks TB +9 @ LAR NE -7 @ BUF CIN +3.5 @ PIT DEN -3 vs. JAX GB…
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Continue reading →: Minnesota Vikings at Chicago Bears: 2019 Week 4 NFL Pick
Minnesota Vikings (2-1) at Chicago Bears (2-1) Normally I like to go against significant week-to-week line movement as it tends to be an overreaction to a single week of play and the line in this game has shifted from Chicago -3 to Chicago -1 in the past week, a significant…
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Continue reading →: Tennessee Titans at Atlanta Falcons: 2019 Week 4 NFL Pick
Tennessee Titans (1-2) at Atlanta Falcons (1-2) The Falcons have gotten off to a disappointing 1-2 start, winning a big home game against the Eagles week 2, but also losing on the road in Minnesota and Indianapolis. They’ve been better than their record has suggested though, ranking 11th in first…
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Continue reading →: Cincinnati Bengals at Pittsburgh Steelers: 2019 Week 4 NFL Pick
Cincinnati Bengals (0-3) at Pittsburgh Steelers (0-3) When the NFL scheduled this game on Monday Night Football, they probably thought they’d be getting a competitive early season matchup between two hated division rivals. Instead, they got the second Monday Night Football game in the past thirty years between a pair…
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