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Continue reading →: Philadelphia Eagles at New York Giants: 2018 Week 6 NFL Pick
Philadelphia Eagles (2-3) at New York Giants (1-4) Last week, the Eagles were my Pick of the Week as 3-point home favorites against the Vikings. They lost by 2, but easily could have won. They had 2 more first downs and one more offensive touchdown than the Vikings on 6…
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Continue reading →: 2018 Week 5 NFL Pick Results
Week 5 Total Against the Spread: 6-9 Pick of the Week: 0-1 High Confidence Picks: 1-0 Medium Confidence Picks: 5-1 Money Picks (Medium Confidence and higher): 6-2 Low Confidence Picks: 0-3 No Confidence Picks: 0-4 Upset Picks: 1-2 2018 Total Against the Spread: 45-31-2 Pick of the Week: 2-3 High…
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Continue reading →: 2018 Week 5 NFL Picks
Pick of the Week PHI -3 vs. MIN High Confidence NO -6 vs. WAS Medium Confidence NE -10 vs. IND CLE +3 vs. BAL GB -1 @ DET CIN -6 vs. MIA ARZ +4 @ SF DAL +3.5 @ HOU Low Confidence ATL +3 @ PIT DEN +1 @ NYJ…
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Continue reading →: Washington Redskins at New Orleans Saints: 2018 Week 5 NFL Pick
Washington Redskins (2-1) at New Orleans Saints (3-1) The Saints gotten off to a bit of a slow start this season, losing at home week 1 to the Buccaneers and then almost losing at the Browns at home week 2, but that’s been the case in recent years for them…
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Continue reading →: Carolina Panthers at New York Giants: 2018 Week 5 NFL Pick
New York Giants (1-3) at Carolina Panthers (2-1) This was the toughest game of the week for me because I have this line calculated right at -6.5, which is what this line is, and there are no strong situational advantages for either team. The Giants play again in 4 days…
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Continue reading →: Denver Broncos at New York Jets: 2018 Week 5 NFL Pick
Denver Broncos (2-2) at New York Jets (1-3) The Jets are one of the worst teams in the league, but are strangely favored by a point at home against a decent Denver team. Under ordinary circumstances, the Broncos would be a smart bet this week, but they’re also in a…
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Continue reading →: Atlanta Falcons at Pittsburgh Steelers: 2018 Week 5 NFL Pick
Atlanta Falcons (1-3) at Pittsburgh Steelers (1-2-1) These two teams are pretty similar. Both have strong offenses, but struggle mightily to stop anyone. The Steelers’ defense took a bit hit when they lost linebacker Ryan Shazier to injury last season, but they were an overrated team even before that. Just…
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Continue reading →: Los Angeles Rams at Seattle Seahawks: 2018 Week 5 NFL Pick
Los Angeles Rams (4-0) at Seattle Seahawks (2-2) Through 4 games, the Rams have been the undisputed top team in football. Not only do they rank first in first down rate differential, their +15.50% mark blows away 2nd place +8.37%. In addition to having the best first down rate in…
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Continue reading →: Jacksonville Jaguars at Kansas City Chiefs: 2018 Week 5 NFL Pick
Jacksonville Jaguars (3-1) at Kansas City Chiefs (4-0) This is arguably the biggest game of the week, a potential AFC Championship preview with potential playoff seeding implications. The Jaguars come in with one loss, by 3 points at home to the Titans, while the Chiefs are undefeated. Despite that, the…
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Continue reading →: Miami Dolphins at Cincinnati Bengals: 2018 Week 5 NFL Pick
Miami Dolphins (3-1) at Cincinnati Bengals (3-1) The Dolphins began the season 3-0, but then they got blown out 38-7 in New England last week. They lost by so much that they now have a negative -8 point differential on the season and a -0.84% first down rate differential. The…
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