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Continue reading →: New York Giants at Pittsburgh Steelers: 2016 Week 13 NFL Pick
New York Giants (8-3) at Pittsburgh Steelers (6-5) What do the Giants have to do to get respect? They enter this game 8-3, but are 6 point underdogs here in Pittsburgh against the 6-5 Steelers. To give you an idea of how rare something like this is, the Giants are…
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Continue reading →: Miami Dolphins at Baltimore Ravens: 2016 Week 13 NFL Pick
Miami Dolphins (7-4) at Baltimore Ravens (6-5) This line at 3.5 in favor of the hometown Baltimore Ravens suggests the Ravens are a slightly better team than the Dolphins. I think it’s the opposite. Both teams come into this game relatively healthy compared to most of the season, with the…
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Continue reading →: Dallas Cowboys at Minnesota Vikings: 2016 Week 13 NFL Pick
Dallas Cowboys (10-1) at Minnesota Vikings (6-5) This line has shifted from 2 in favor of the visiting Cowboys on the early line last week to 4 now this week. Ordinarily, big week-to-week shifts like that are the result of overreactions to a single week of play and create line…
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Continue reading →: 2016 Week 12 NFL Pick Results
Week 12 Straight Up: 12-4 Against the spread: 9-6-1 Pick of the Week: 1-0 High Confidence: 1-1 Medium Confidence: 2-1 Low Confidence: 3-3 No Confidence: 2-1-1 Upset Picks: 0-1 Season Straight Up: 110-65-2 (62.86%) Against the spread: 83-85-9 (49.40%) Pick of the Week: 9-3 (75.00%) High Confidence: 10-10-2 (50.00%) Medium…
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Continue reading →: Cincinnati Bengals at Baltimore Ravens: 2016 Week 12 NFL Pick
Cincinnati Bengals (3-6-1) at Baltimore Ravens (5-5) Already in the middle of a down year, the Bengals suffered two major injuries last week, as running back Giovani Bernard went down for the season with a torn ACL and #1 wide receiver AJ Green went down for an extended period of…
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Continue reading →: Green Bay Packers at Philadelphia Eagles: 2016 Week 12 NFL Pick
Green Bay Packers (4-6) at Philadelphia Eagles (5-5) I’ve been going back and forth on whether or not I want to put any money on the Packers this week. They should be the right side, but they’ve been so inconsistent this season that it’s tough to be confident in them.…
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Continue reading →: Carolina Panthers at Oakland Raiders: 2016 Week 12 NFL Pick
Carolina Panthers (4-6) at Oakland Raiders (8-2) Along with Denver/Kansas City, this is another game where I’m holding out hope that the line drops to a field goal before gametime. This line is currently 3.5 in favor of the hometown Oakland Raiders, but 1 in 6 games are decided by…
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Continue reading →: Kansas City Chiefs at Denver Broncos: 2016 Week 12 NFL Pick
Kansas City Chiefs (7-3) at Denver Broncos (7-3) The Chiefs are 7-3, but they’ve been overly reliant on close wins (4 of 7 wins by a touchdown or less), winning the turnover margin (+13 on the season, best in the NFL), and return touchdowns (+4 return touchdown margin). Those things…
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Continue reading →: New England Patriots at New York Jets: 2016 Week 12 NFL Pick
New England Patriots (8-2) at New York Jets (3-7) The Patriots are right in the middle of a very cushy stretch of their schedule, as they play the 49ers, Jets, and Rams in back-to-back-to-back weeks. Those are three of the worst teams in the league. As a result, they have…
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Continue reading →: San Francisco 49ers at Miami Dolphins: 2016 Week 12 NFL Pick
San Francisco 49ers (1-9) at Miami Dolphins (6-4) The Browns haven’t won a game this season, but there’s an argument to be made that the 1-9 49ers are the worst team in the league this season. They don’t rank dead last in first down rate differential, but that’s only because…
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