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Continue reading →: Atlanta Falcons at Tampa Bay Buccaneers: 2015 Week 13 NFL Pick
Atlanta Falcons (6-5) at Tampa Bay Buccaneers (5-6) The Falcons started the season a surprising 5-0, but have since fallen back to earth, losing 5 of 6, putting them in a fight to even make the playoffs. Considering 3 of those 5 wins were by a touchdown or less and…
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Continue reading →: Seattle Seahawks at Minnesota Vikings: 2015 Week 13 NFL Pick
Seattle Seahawks (6-5) at Minnesota Vikings (8-3) The Seahawks are in a great spot here this week. While the Vikings have to play arguably the toughest game of their season in 4 days on the road on Thursday Night Football (in Arizona against the Cardinals), the Seahawks have an easy…
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Continue reading →: Green Bay Packers at Detroit Lions: 2015 Week 13 NFL Pick
Green Bay Packers (7-4) at Detroit Lions (4-7) After an impressive 6-0 start, the Packers have lost 4 of their last 5 games, including two straight home losses, to the Chicago Bears last week and to these Detroit Lions three weeks ago. The line has really adjusted in the last…
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Continue reading →: 2015 Week 12 NFL Pick Results
Week 12 Straight Up: 9-7 Against the Spread: 10-6 Pick of the Week: 0-1 High Confidence: 1-0 Medium Confidence: 5-1 Low Confidence: 3-3 No Confidence: 1-1 Upset Picks: 2-2 2015 Straight Up: 103-73 Against the Spread: 76-96-4 Pick of the Week: 5-7 High Confidence: 9-8 Medium Confidence: 23-24-1 Low Confidence:…
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Continue reading →: Baltimore Ravens at Cleveland Browns: 2015 Week 12 NFL Pick
Baltimore Ravens (3-7) at Cleveland Browns (2-8) This has been the season from hell for the Ravens. After going 11-5, winning a playoff game, and finishing the season 3rd in rate of moving the chains differential a year ago, the Ravens lost outside linebacker Pernell McPhee, defensive tackle Haloti Ngata,…
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Continue reading →: Minnesota Vikings at Atlanta Falcons: 2015 Week 12 NFL Pick
Minnesota Vikings (7-3) at Atlanta Falcons (6-4) The Falcons started the season a surprising 5-0, but have since fallen back to earth, losing 4 of 5, putting them in a fight to even make the playoffs. Considering 3 of those 5 wins were by a touchdown or less and the…
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Continue reading →: Buffalo Bills at Kansas City Chiefs: 2015 Week 12 NFL Pick
Buffalo Bills (5-5) at Kansas City Chiefs (5-5) This line was a field goal a week ago on the early line, but has since jumped to 6. Ordinarily, I like to fade significant week-to-week line movements because they tend to be overreactions to a single week of play, but, in…
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Continue reading →: New Orleans Saints at Houston Texans: 2015 Week 12 NFL Pick
New Orleans Saints (4-6) at Houston Texans (5-5) The Texans won last week, 24-17 at home against the Jets, to improve their record to 5-5. After a 1-4 start, the Texans are right in the thick of the playoff race in the AFC. Last week’s win came as home underdogs…
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Continue reading →: Miami Dolphins at New York Jets: 2015 Week 12 NFL Pick
Miami Dolphins (4-6) at New York Jets (5-5) This might sound weird considering they’re 5-5 and have struggled on offense, but the Jets actually rank 5th in rate of moving the chains differential. It makes more sense when you consider two things. One, while their offense has really struggled, ranking…
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Continue reading →: Tampa Bay Buccaneers at Indianapolis Colts: 2015 Week 12 NFL Pick
Tampa Bay Buccaneers (5-5) at Indianapolis Colts (5-5) Matt Hasselbeck is 3-0 as the Colts’ starter and the Colts have moved the chains at a 72.04% rate in his 3 starts, as opposed to 69.66% in Andrew Luck’s 7 starts. Certainly getting Luck back healthy for the stretch run and…
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