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Continue reading →: Buffalo Bills at New England Patriots: 2015 Week 11 NFL Pick
Buffalo Bills (5-4) at New England Patriots (9-0) Ordinarily, I would be all over the Patriots here. They should be favored by more than 7.5 points at home against the Bills, as they rank 2nd in rate of moving the chains differential, while the Bills rank 21st. They’re also in…
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Continue reading →: Kansas City Chiefs at San Diego Chargers: 2015 Week 11 NFL Pick
Kansas City Chiefs (4-5) at San Diego Chargers (2-7) The Chargers had their bye last week and it came at a perfect time, as it allowed them to get much healthier. Left tackle King Dunlap, left guard Orlando Franklin, tight end Antonio Gates, and safety Eric Weddle, all of whom…
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Continue reading →: Green Bay Packers at Minnesota Vikings: 2015 Week 11 NFL Pick
Green Bay Packers (6-3) at Minnesota Vikings (7-2) Aaron Rodgers is 23-12 ATS off of a loss in his career, as he typically responds well to adversity, but, now having lost 3 straight, public confidence in Rodgers is much lower than normal. This line has gone from favoring the Packers…
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Continue reading →: Oakland Raiders at Detroit Lions: 2015 Week 11 NFL Pick
Oakland Raiders (4-5) at Detroit Lions (2-7) The Raiders get talented center Rodney Hudson back from a one game absence this week, but they’ve also lost talented edge rusher Aldon Smith for the season with a suspension. Oakland has a solid offense (8th in rate of moving the chains) and…
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Continue reading →: Washington Redskins at Carolina Panthers: 2015 Week 11 NFL Pick
Washington Redskins (4-5) at Carolina Panthers (9-0) The Panthers are one of the best teams in the NFL, ranking 4th in rate of moving the chains differential with an undefeated record, so it might be surprising that they’re only favored by 7.5 here. However, Washington is a solid opponent, ranking…
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Continue reading →: San Francisco 49ers at Seattle Seahawks: 2015 Week 11 NFL Pick
San Francisco 49ers (3-6) at Seattle Seahawks (4-5) The Seahawks covered in 15 of their first 20 home games in the Russell Wilson era, but they are just 6-7 ATS since. What happened? Do they not have the same homefield advantage anymore? It’s possible, but I think two others things…
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Continue reading →: Cincinnati Bengals at Arizona Cardinals: 2015 Week 11 NFL Pick
Cincinnati Bengals (8-1) at Arizona Cardinals (7-2) This line has shifted significantly in the past week, as the Cardinals were favored by 3 on the early line last week, but now are favored by 4.5, following the Cardinals’ big win in Seattle and the Bengals’ home loss to the mediocre…
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Continue reading →: Denver Broncos at Chicago Bears: 2015 Week 11 NFL Pick
Denver Broncos (7-2) at Chicago Bears (4-5) The Broncos are in a really tough spot here this week, with probably their toughest and biggest game of the season on deck, a clash with Tom Brady and the currently undefeated New England Patriots in Denver, a game in which the Patriots…
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Continue reading →: Tennessee Titans at Jacksonville Jaguars: 2015 Week 11 NFL Pick
Tennessee Titans (2-7) at Jacksonville Jaguars (3-6) Things seem to be looking up for the Jacksonville Jaguars, who won their 3rd game of the season last week, on a last second field goal in Baltimore. Though just 3-6, Jacksonville is only a game out of first place in the AFC…
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Continue reading →: New Orleans Saints at Washington Redskins: 2015 Week 10 NFL Pick
New Orleans Saints (4-5) at Washington Redskins (3-5) Even at 36 years of age, Drew Brees is playing very well. He’s completing 69.6% of his passes for an average of 8.08 YPA, 18 touchdowns, and 7 interceptions, while leading an offense that ranks 4th in rate of moving the chains.…
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