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Continue reading →: San Diego Chargers at Jacksonville Jaguars: 2015 Week 12 NFL Pick
San Diego Chargers (2-8) at Jacksonville Jaguars (4-6) The Chargers’ 2-8 record is tied for the worst in the NFL, but they have played better than their record. Their defense has been horrendous, ranking 29th in rate of moving the chains allowed, but their offense ranks 5th, as quarterback Philip…
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Continue reading →: New York Giants at Washington Redskins: 2015 Week 12 NFL Pick
New York Giants (5-5) at Washington Redskins (4-6) I’m torn on this one. On one hand, the Giants have always been a very good road team in the Tom Coughlin/Eli Manning era, since 2004, going 60-39 ATS on the road over that time period, including 51-32 ATS as underdogs or…
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Continue reading →: New England Patriots at Denver Broncos: 2015 Week 12 NFL Pick
New England Patriots (10-0) at Denver Broncos (8-2) This line was 5.5 a week ago on the early line, in favor of New England in Denver, but now New England is only favored by a field goal. I typically like to fade significant week-to-week line movements because they tend to…
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Continue reading →: Arizona Cardinals at San Francisco 49ers: 2015 Week 12 NFL Pick
Arizona Cardinals (8-2) at San Francisco 49ers (3-7) The Cardinals were favored by just 8 points in this game against the 49ers on the early line last week, but the line has since moved to 10. Ordinarily, I like to fade significant week-to-week line movements because they tend to be…
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Continue reading →: St. Louis Rams at Cincinnati Bengals: 2015 Week 12 NFL Pick
St. Louis Rams (4-6) at Cincinnati Bengals (8-2) The Bengals were favored by just 7 points in this game against the Rams on the early line last week, but the line has since moved to 9.5. Ordinarily, I like to fade significant week-to-week line movements because they tend to be…
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Continue reading →: Oakland Raiders at Tennessee Titans: 2015 Week 12 NFL Pick
Oakland Raiders (4-6) at Tennessee Titans (2-8) The Raiders have lost 3 straight games since their 4-3 start, as player losses have caught up with them. They lost defensive end Justin Tuck for the season to injury before their bye week and have been without him for the past 5…
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Continue reading →: Pittsburgh Steelers at Seattle Seahawks: 2015 Week 12 NFL Pick
Pittsburgh Steelers (6-4) at Seattle Seahawks (5-5) The Seahawks are favored by 3.5 points here at home, where they are 21-4 straight up (outscoring opponents by an average of 11.38 points per game) in their last 25 games, since the start of the 2013 season. Over those 25 games, they…
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Continue reading →: Carolina Panthers at Dallas Cowboys: 2015 Week 12 NFL Pick
Carolina Panthers (10-0) at Dallas Cowboys (3-7) Carolina is undefeated and Dallas is 3-7, but the Cowboys are the ones favored here in Dallas (albeit by 1 point). That’s because 5 of the Cowboys’ 7 losses have come by less than a touchdown and they’re finally healthy offensively. Tony Romo…
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Continue reading →: Chicago Bears at Green Bay Packers: 2015 Week 12 NFL Pick
Chicago Bears (4-6) at Green Bay Packers (7-3) The Packers lost to the lowly Lions in their last home game, but they’ve generally had a ton of success at Lambeau recently. As long as Aaron Rodgers starts (minus any games he’s been knocked out very early with injuries), the Packers are…
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Continue reading →: Philadelphia Eagles at Detroit Lions: 2015 Week 12 NFL Pick
Philadelphia Eagles (4-6) at Detroit Lions (3-7) The Eagles were favored by a field goal in Detroit on the early line last week, but now are 2.5 point road underdogs, a huge line movement considering the fact that close to 1 in 4 games are decided by a field goal…