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Continue reading →: Dallas Cowboys at Washington Redskins: 2015 Week 13 NFL Pick
Dallas Cowboys (3-8) at Washington Redskins (5-6) This line favored the Cowboys by 3 points last week in the early line, but now the Redskins are favored by 4. Obviously, Dallas’ loss of quarterback Tony Romo for the season was a big part of the line movement, and rightfully so,…
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Continue reading →: Carolina Panthers at New Orleans Saints: 2015 Week 13 NFL Pick
Carolina Panthers (11-0) at New Orleans Saints (4-7) The Panthers were favored by 3.5 on the early line for this one, but the line has since shifted to 7 in favor of the Panthers. Ordinarily I like to fade significant week-to-week line movements, but I think this line just caught…
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Continue reading →: Arizona Cardinals at St. Louis Rams: 2015 Week 13 NFL Pick
Arizona Cardinals (9-2) at St. Louis Rams (4-7) The Cardinals failed to cover last week in San Francisco, winning by just 6 points, as 10 point favorites, but I like their chances of covering this week as 5 point favorites in St. Louis for a few reasons. For one, they’re…
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Continue reading →: Denver Broncos at San Diego Chargers: 2015 Week 13 NFL Pick
Denver Broncos (9-2) at San Diego Chargers (3-8) The Chargers’ 3-8 record is one of the worst in the NFL, but they have played better than their record. Their record is largely the result of a 3-5 record in games decided by a touchdown (3-6 in games decided by 8…
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Continue reading →: Baltimore Ravens at Miami Dolphins: 2015 Week 13 NFL Pick
Baltimore Ravens (4-7) at Miami Dolphins (4-7) This has been the season from hell for the Ravens. After going 11-5, winning a playoff game, and finishing the season 3rd in rate of moving the chains differential a year ago, the Ravens lost outside linebacker Pernell McPhee, defensive tackle Haloti Ngata, wide…
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Continue reading →: New York Jets at New York Giants: 2015 Week 13 NFL Pick
New York Jets (6-5) at New York Giants (5-6) This is technically a home game for the Giants, but considering they’re playing the Jets, with whom they share a stadium, it’s tough to consider this a true home game. The Giants’ season ticket holders will be there and the Giants…
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Continue reading →: Cincinnati Bengals at Cleveland Browns: 2015 Week 13 NFL Pick
Cincinnati Bengals (9-2) at Cleveland Browns (2-9) This line was a touchdown in favor of the visiting Bengals last week, but since has moved to 9.5. Ordinarily, I like to fade significant week-to-week line movements because they tend to be overreactions to a single week of play, but I think…
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Continue reading →: Philadelphia Eagles at New England Patriots: 2015 Week 13 NFL Pick
Philadelphia Eagles (4-7) at New England Patriots (10-1) The Eagles have lost their last 2 games by a combined score of 90-31, dropping them out of 1st place in the weak NFC East and raising questions about whether or not head coach Chip Kelly will return next season. However, the…
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Continue reading →: San Francisco 49ers at Chicago Bears: 2015 Week 13 NFL Pick
San Francisco 49ers (3-8) at Chicago Bears (5-6) The 49ers have been the worst team in the NFL, by a wide margin, according to rate of moving the chains differential. They have a -11.74% differential and no other team in the NFL is worse than -6.29%. While the 49ers have…
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Continue reading →: Indianapolis Colts at Pittsburgh Steelers: 2015 Week 13 NFL Pick
Indianapolis Colts (6-5) at Pittsburgh Steelers (6-5) Matt Hasselbeck is 4-0 as the Colts’ starter and the Colts have moved the chains at a 73.60% rate in his 4 starts, as opposed to 69.66% in Andrew Luck’s 7 starts. Certainly getting Luck back healthy for the stretch run and playoffs…
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