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Continue reading →: 2015 Week 11 NFL Pick Results
Week 11 Straight Up: 6-8 Against the Spread: 5-9 Pick of the Week: 0-1 High Confidence: 0-2 Medium Confidence: 1-1 Low Confidence: 2-3 No Confidence: 2-2 Upset Picks: 0-3 2015 Straight Up: 94-66 Against the Spread: 66-90-4 Pick of the Week: 5-6 High Confidence: 8-8 Medium Confidence: 18-21-1 Low Confidence:…
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Continue reading →: St. Louis Rams at Baltimore Ravens: 2015 Week 11 NFL Pick
St. Louis Rams (4-5) at Baltimore Ravens (2-7) The Rams have benched Nick Foles, who they traded for and gave an extension to this off-season, for backup Case Keenum. Keenum has struggled in a decent amount of action in his career, completing 55.2% of his passes for an average of…
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Continue reading →: Indianapolis Colts at Atlanta Falcons: 2015 Week 11 NFL Pick
Indianapolis Colts (4-5) at Atlanta Falcons (6-3) The Falcons are 6-3, but not as good as their record. Their 3 losses came against New Orleans, Tampa Bay, and San Francisco. Just 2 of their 6 wins have come by more than a touchdown and the toughest team they’ve beaten is…
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Continue reading →: Dallas Cowboys at Miami Dolphins: 2015 Week 11 NFL Pick
Dallas Cowboys (2-7) at Miami Dolphins (4-5) The Cowboys are 2-7, but are favored here by 1.5 points in Miami. That’s because, of their 7 losses, 5 of them have come by less than a touchdown. As a result, they rank 23rd in rate of moving the chains, not bad…
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Continue reading →: Tampa Bay Buccaneers at Philadelphia Eagles: 2015 Week 11 NFL Pick
Tampa Bay Buccaneers (4-5) at Philadelphia Eagles (4-5) The Eagles are only favored by 6 points here over the Buccaneers this week, after being favored by 8 points in the early line last week. I think that’s too low, as the Eagles rank 7th in rate of moving the chains…
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Continue reading →: New York Jets at Houston Texans: 2015 Week 11 NFL Pick
New York Jets (5-4) at Houston Texans (4-5) I’m torn on this one. On one hand, I think this line is probably too high at 3.5 in favor of the visiting Jets in Houston. The Texans are no pushover and have won 3 of their last 4 games, including last…
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Continue reading →: Buffalo Bills at New England Patriots: 2015 Week 11 NFL Pick
Buffalo Bills (5-4) at New England Patriots (9-0) Ordinarily, I would be all over the Patriots here. They should be favored by more than 7.5 points at home against the Bills, as they rank 2nd in rate of moving the chains differential, while the Bills rank 21st. They’re also in…
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Continue reading →: Kansas City Chiefs at San Diego Chargers: 2015 Week 11 NFL Pick
Kansas City Chiefs (4-5) at San Diego Chargers (2-7) The Chargers had their bye last week and it came at a perfect time, as it allowed them to get much healthier. Left tackle King Dunlap, left guard Orlando Franklin, tight end Antonio Gates, and safety Eric Weddle, all of whom…
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Continue reading →: Green Bay Packers at Minnesota Vikings: 2015 Week 11 NFL Pick
Green Bay Packers (6-3) at Minnesota Vikings (7-2) Aaron Rodgers is 23-12 ATS off of a loss in his career, as he typically responds well to adversity, but, now having lost 3 straight, public confidence in Rodgers is much lower than normal. This line has gone from favoring the Packers…
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Continue reading →: Oakland Raiders at Detroit Lions: 2015 Week 11 NFL Pick
Oakland Raiders (4-5) at Detroit Lions (2-7) The Raiders get talented center Rodney Hudson back from a one game absence this week, but they’ve also lost talented edge rusher Aldon Smith for the season with a suspension. Oakland has a solid offense (8th in rate of moving the chains) and…