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Continue reading →: Seattle Seahawks at Cincinnati Bengals: 2015 Week 5 NFL Pick
Seattle Seahawks (2-2) at Cincinnati Bengals (4-0) Currently, the Bengals are projected to be 1.5 point underdogs in Buffalo next week, according to the early line. The Seahawks, meanwhile, are projected to be 7.5 point favorites at home for Carolina next week. Favorites are 67-111 ATS since 2010 before being…
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Continue reading →: Pittsburgh Steelers at San Diego Chargers: 2015 Week 5 NFL Pick
Pittsburgh Steelers (2-2) at San Diego Chargers (2-2) Those who follow me know I love to fade significant week-to-week line movements because they tend to be overreactions to one week. This game features one of those, as the early line had San Diego favored by 6.5 and they’re now favored…
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Continue reading →: Cleveland Browns at Baltimore Ravens: 2015 Week 5 NFL Pick
Cleveland Browns (1-3) at Baltimore Ravens (1-3) The Baltimore Ravens have had a tough start to their season. They played their first 2 games on the road, in Denver and Oakland, losing both. The Oakland game was one they should have won and needed to win, but there’s no shame…
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Continue reading →: Buffalo Bills at Tennessee Titans: 2015 Week 5 NFL Pick
Buffalo Bills (2-2) at Tennessee Titans (1-2) Tennessee was originally going to be my Pick of the Week at the beginning of the week. I changed that for a few reasons. For one, the line moved from 3 in favor of Buffalo to 1 mid-week, which is a significant line…
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Continue reading →: Washington Redskins at Atlanta Falcons: 2015 Week 5 NFL Pick
Washington Redskins (2-2) at Atlanta Falcons (4-0) The Falcons are a surprising 4-0, one of 6 undefeated teams left in the NFL. However, when you look at the teams they’ve played, it’s not that surprising. They’ve played Philadelphia, the NY Giants (both of whom they barely beat), Dallas (without Tony…
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Continue reading →: Jacksonville Jaguars at Tampa Bay Buccaneers: 2015 Week 5 NFL Pick
Jacksonville Jaguars (1-3) at Tampa Bay Buccaneers (1-3) The Buccaneers are going into a bye here, but that’s not a good thing, as counterintuitive as that might seem. Big home favorites (6+) typically do very well before a bye (59-19 ATS since 2002), but, for whatever reason, small home favorites…
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Continue reading →: New England Patriots at Dallas Cowboys: 2015 Week 5 NFL Pick
New England Patriots (3-0) at Dallas Cowboys (2-2) How good has the Patriots’ offense been this season? Well, only two teams have more offensive touchdowns than they do (Cincinnati and Atlanta) and that’s despite the fact that the Patriots are coming off of a bye and 30 teams have played…
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Continue reading →: St. Louis Rams at Green Bay Packers: 2015 Week 5 NFL Pick
St. Louis Rams (2-2) at Green Bay Packers (4-0) The Packers’ home dominance in recent years is well documented. As long as Aaron Rodgers starts (minus any games he’s been knocked out very early with injuries), the Packers are 29-11-1 ATS at home since 2010 and 37-4 straight up, with…
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Continue reading →: Indianapolis Colts at Houston Texans: 2015 Week 5 NFL Pick
Indianapolis Colts (2-2) at Houston Texans (1-3) Andrew Luck missed the first game of his career last week, a late scratch with a right shoulder injury. The injury was reportedly not severe, so many thought the Colts were just holding him out ahead of a short week on the road…
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Continue reading →: 2015 Week 4 NFL Pick Results
Week 3 Straight Up: 10-5 Against the Spread: 7-8 Pick of the Week: 0-1 High Confidence: 0-1 Medium Confidence: 4-1 Low Confidence: 3-3 No Confidence: 0-2 Upset Picks: 1-2 2015 Straight Up: 41-22 Against the Spread: 31-31-1 Pick of the Week: 1-3 High Confidence: 4-2 Medium Confidence: 10-7 Low Confidence:…
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