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Continue reading →: Tampa Bay Buccaneers at Houston Texans: 2015 Week 3 NFL Pick
Tampa Bay Buccaneers (1-1) at Houston Texans (0-2) Ordinarily, I love fading significant week-to-week line movements because they tend to be overreactions to one week. For example, the Buccaneers were 8.5 point underdogs in this game in the early line last week, but now they’re only getting 6.5 points, as…
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Continue reading →: Cincinnati Bengals at Baltimore Ravens: 2015 Week 3 NFL Pick
Cincinnati Bengals (2-0) at Baltimore Ravens (0-2) I had the Ravens winning 11 games, the AFC North, and making the playoffs coming into the season, after finishing 3rd in rate of moving the chains differential in 2014. However, they have started the season 0-2. Losing in Denver was understandable, but…
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Continue reading →: Pittsburgh Steelers at St. Louis Rams: 2015 Week 3 NFL Pick
Pittsburgh Steelers (1-1) at St. Louis Rams (1-1) Anyone who follows me knows I love to go against significant line movements, as they tend to be overreactions to one week. This game has one of those, as the Rams have gone from 2.5 point favorites to 2 point underdogs here…
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Continue reading →: San Diego Chargers at Minnesota Vikings: 2015 Week 3 NFL Pick
San Diego Chargers (1-1) at Minnesota Vikings (1-1) Not a lot of people are talking about the Chargers, but they have a good team. A borderline playoff team in 2013 and 2014, the Chargers’ secondary is significantly better than it was in 2013 thanks to the additions of Brandon Flowers…
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Continue reading →: Washington Redskins at New York Giants: 2015 Week 3 NFL Pick
Washington Redskins (1-1) at New York Giants (0-2) The Redskins entered the season as a laughing stock. Now some are predicting they’ll win the NFC East. How did that happen? Well, the Redskins have played better than people have expected through two games, beating the Rams week 2 and almost…
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Continue reading →: 2015 Week 2 NFL Pick Results
Last Week Straight Up: 8-8 Against the Spread: 8-8 Pick of the Week: 0-1 High Confidence: 1-0 Medium Confidence: 4-1 Low Confidence: 2-4 No Confidence: 1-2 Upset Picks: 3-2 Season Straight Up: 20-12 Against the Spread: 18-13-1 Pick of the Week: 1-1 High Confidence: 2-0 Medium Confidence: 6-2 Low Confidence:…
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Continue reading →: St. Louis Rams at Washington Redskins: 2015 Week 2 NFL Pick
St. Louis Rams (1-0) at Washington Redskins (0-1) Last week, the Redskins were 3.5 point home underdogs for the Miami Dolphins and ended up losing 17-10. This week, they are 3.5 point home underdogs again, but to a team that I think is significantly inferior to the Miami Dolphins, the…
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Continue reading →: San Diego Chargers at Cincinnati Bengals: 2015 Week 2 NFL Pick
San Diego Chargers (1-0) at Cincinnati Bengals (1-0) This is one of the toughest games of the week for me, but I’m going with the Chargers for two reasons. For one, I think San Diego is a little bit better. Going into the season, I had them as a 10-win…
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Continue reading →: San Francisco 49ers at Pittsburgh Steelers: 2015 Week 2 NFL Pick
San Francisco 49ers (1-0) at Pittsburgh Steelers (0-1) The 49ers had an impressive week 1 victory, beating the Vikings 20-3, but I still think they could end up being a 5 or 6 win team. It’s very possible that their week 1 play isn’t representative of how good they’ll be…
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Continue reading →: Houston Texans at Carolina Panthers: 2015 Week 2 NFL Pick
Houston Texans (0-1) at Carolina Panthers (1-0) The Panthers are favored by a field goal here, but the public is actually on the Texans. I love fading the public whenever it makes sense, especially when the public is on an underdog. The public always loses money in the long run…
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