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Continue reading →: Houston Texans at Tennessee Titans: 2014 Week 8 NFL Pick
Houston Texans (3-3) at Tennessee Titans (2-5) The Texans are road favorites here, but they could easily be home underdogs next week when they host the Eagles. Road favorites are 76-118 ATS since 1989 before being home underdogs, including 18-27 ATS as divisional road favorites before being non-divisional home underdogs,…
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Continue reading →: St. Louis Rams at Kansas City Chiefs: 2014 Week 8 NFL Pick
St. Louis Rams (2-4) at Kansas City Chiefs (3-3) The Chiefs have proven to be the real deal this year. A year after relying on weak competition, an unsustainable turnover margin, and no injuries to go 11-5, the Chiefs have now knocked off New England and San Diego and come…
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Continue reading →: Miami Dolphins at Jacksonville Jaguars: 2014 Week 8 NFL Pick
Miami Dolphins (3-3) at Jacksonville Jaguars (1-6) I’m completely split on this one. On one hand, the Jaguars are in a bad spot, having to go to Cincinnati next week where they will almost certainly be double digit underdogs (the early line is 11). Teams are 40-81 ATS before being…
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Continue reading →: Philadelphia Eagles at Arizona Cardinals: 2014 Week 8 NFL Pick
Philadelphia Eagles (5-1) at Arizona Cardinals (5-1) I’m not happy that these two teams are playing each other because I think they’re two of the most overrated teams in football. Neither is as good as their record and yet one will advance to 6-1, though I guess that’ll make for…
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Continue reading →: Washington Redskins at Dallas Cowboys: 2014 Week 8 NFL Pick
Washington Redskins (2-5) at Dallas Cowboys (6-1) Last week I picked against the Cowboys when they planned the Giants here at home in Dallas. That didn’t work out as the Cowboys won 31-21 as 6.5 point favorites, but it could have easily been a different result (against the spread). The…
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Continue reading →: Chicago Bears at New England Patriots: 2014 Week 8 NFL Pick
Chicago Bears (3-4) at New England Patriots (5-2) The Bears were embarrassed last week at home by the Dolphins, but that’s because the Dolphins were in a fantastic spot, with an incredibly easy game against the Jaguars up next, while the Bears were caught looking forward to this one. I…
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Continue reading →: Baltimore Ravens at Cincinnati Bengals: 2014 Week 8 NFL Pick
Baltimore Ravens (5-2) at Cincinnati Bengals (3-2-1) The Bengals were embarrassed on the road in Indianapolis last week, getting blown out by the final score of 27-0. Now they’re favored to beat the 5-2 Ravens. You should put all your money on Baltimore as underdogs right? Well, that’s ignoring the…
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Continue reading →: Green Bay Packers at New Orleans Saints: 2014 Week 8 NFL Pick
Green Bay Packers (5-2) at New Orleans Saints (2-4) The Saints have been incredible at home over the past few years. They are 32-11 ATS at home since 2008 in the games which Drew Brees and Sean Payton were involved. On top of that, they are 17-1-1 ATS at home…
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Continue reading →: San Diego Chargers at Denver Broncos: 2014 Week 8 NFL Pick
San Diego Chargers (5-2) at Denver Broncos (5-1) The Broncos have generally been very good at home in the Peyton Manning era, going 14-7 ATS as home favorites of 3 or more. That hasn’t been the case against these Chargers, who have covered in all 3 instances in Denver as…
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Continue reading →: Detroit Lions at Atlanta Falcons in London: 2014 Week 8 NFL Pick
Detroit Lions (5-2) at Atlanta Falcons (2-5) in London This is technically a home game for the Falcons, but it’s a neutral site game in London. Given that, we’re getting significant line value with the Lions as either the Lions are being overrated or the Falcons are being underrated. The…
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