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Continue reading →: Kansas City Chiefs at Washington Redskins: 2013 Week 14 NFL Pick
Kansas City Chiefs (9-3) at Washington Redskins (3-9) How can the Chiefs not beat the Redskins by 4 or more right? Well, that seems to be what the public thinks as they are all over the Chiefs favored by 3.5 here. As is often the case with huge public leans,…
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Continue reading →: Oakland Raiders at New York Jets: 2013 Week 14 NFL Pick
Oakland Raiders (4-8) at New York Jets (5-7) The Jets may be 5-7, but they are among the worst teams in the NFL. They have the NFL’s 2nd worst point differential as their 5 wins have come by a combined 19 points, while their 7 losses have come by a…
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Continue reading →: Buffalo Bills at Tampa Bay Buccaneers: 2013 Week 14 NFL Pick
Tampa Bay Buccaneers (3-9) at Buffalo Bills (4-8) The Buccaneers are favored here this week, something that has been a very rare occurrence for them this season. They were kind of favored against the Falcons a few weeks ago, favored by 1 point in some places, with the line being…
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Continue reading →: Miami Dolphins at Pittsburgh Steelers: 2013 Week 14 NFL Pick
Miami Dolphins (6-6) at Pittsburgh Steelers (5-7) This line suggests that those two teams are even, with Pittsburgh favored by 3 at home, because 3 is the standard adjustment for home field advantage. I don’t think that’s true. The Steelers started the year 0-4 because of serious turnover battle problems…
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Continue reading →: Tennessee Titans at Denver Broncos: 2013 Week 14 NFL Pick
Tennessee Titans (5-7) at Denver Broncos (10-2) Peyton Manning’s struggles in the cold are well documented. If you’ve been reading things about this game on the internet or watching ESPN or NFL Network this week, you might have heard this stat: in games where the game-time temperature was 32 or…
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Continue reading →: New York Giants at San Diego Chargers: 2013 Week 14 NFL Pick
New York Giants (5-7) at San Diego Chargers (5-7) The Chargers are in an incredibly tough situation this week because they have to face the Broncos a few days after this one in Denver on Thursday Night Football. That is undoubtedly the biggest game of their season. They’ll obviously not…
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Continue reading →: Seattle Seahawks at San Francisco 49ers: 2013 Week 14 NFL Pick
Seattle Seahawks (11-1) at San Francisco 49ers (8-4) The Seahawks blew the Saints last week, winning 34-7 on Monday Night Football. Ordinarily, teams carry over that momentum off of a Monday night blowout into their next game, going 31-13 ATS since 2002 off of a win of 21 or more.…
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Continue reading →: Carolina Panthers at New Orleans Saints: 2013 Week 14 NFL Pick
Carolina Panthers (9-3) at New Orleans Saints (9-3) The Saints got blown out in Seattle last week 34-7, but there’s not a lot of shame in getting blown out in Seattle. They have the most powerful homefield advantage in the NFL and they also might be the best team in…
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Continue reading →: Houston Texans at Jacksonville Jaguars: 2013 Week 14 NFL Pick
Houston Texans (2-10) at Jacksonville Jaguars (3-9) The Texans are 2-10, a game behind the Jaguars, and lost to the Texans at home two weeks ago. Why do they deserve to be favored here on the road by 3.5 points? Well, it’s because the Texans aren’t as bad as their…
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Continue reading →: Minnesota Vikings at Baltimore Ravens: 2013 Week 14 NFL Pick
Minnesota Vikings (3-8-1) at Baltimore Ravens (6-6) The Ravens won at home last week against the Steelers, but did not cover. However, you could definitely argue they deserved to cover. They scored 6 times (1 touchdown, 5 field goals), as opposed to 3 times for Pittsburgh (3 touchdowns) and still…