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Continue reading →: Indianapolis Colts at Las Vegas Raiders: 2020 Week 14 NFL Pick
Indianapolis Colts (8-4) at Las Vegas Raiders (7-5) The Colts only have a one game edge in the standings, but record is not always indicative of how a team has played and the Colts have been the clearly better of these two teams this season, with clear edges in point…
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Continue reading →: New Orleans Saints at Philadelphia Eagles: 2020 Week 14 NFL Pick
New Orleans Saints (10-2) at Philadelphia Eagles (3-8-1) It may seem crazy, but there are reasons to like the Eagles this week and I strongly considered betting on them as home underdogs of a touchdown against the Saints. The Eagles’ offensive struggles have been well documented this season, but what’s…
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Continue reading →: Kansas City Chiefs at Miami Dolphins: 2020 Week 14 NFL Pick
Kansas City Chiefs (11-1) at Miami Dolphins (8-4) The Dolphins are 8-4, but they’ve faced one of the easier schedules in the league, with half of their wins coming against the three teams (Bengals, Jaguars, and Jets) who rank in the bottom-3 in schedule adjusted first down rate differential. They’ve…
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Continue reading →: Minnesota Vikings at Tampa Bay Buccaneers: 2020 Week 14 NFL Pick
Minnesota Vikings (6-6) at Tampa Bay Buccaneers (7-5) The Vikings have jumped to 6-6 after their 1-5 start, but I still think they’re a little underrated, as a lot of the metrics that suggested they’d be better after their 1-5 start still suggest they can be better going forward. They…
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Continue reading →: Tennessee Titans at Jacksonville Jaguars: 2020 Week 14 NFL Pick
Tennessee Titans (8-4) at Jacksonville Jaguars (1-11) Coming into the season, most expected the Jaguars to be one of the worst teams in the league, if not the worst team. The Jaguars surprisingly made the AFC Championship game in 2017 led by probably the league’s best defense, but teams led…
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Continue reading →: New York Jets at Seattle Seahawks: 2020 Week 14 NFL Pick
New York Jets (0-12) at Seattle Seahawks (8-4) The Seahawks lost last week in shocking fashion, sitting at 8-3, at home facing a sub-.500 team who was starting a backup quarterback. Even more shocking is that, while the Seahawks’ issues this season have primarily been on the defensive side of…
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Continue reading →: Washington Football Team at San Francisco 49ers: 2020 Week 14 NFL Pick
Washington Football Team (5-7) at San Francisco 49ers (5-7) I have bet on Washington in each of the past four weeks since they’ve turned to Alex Smith under center and it has paid off as they have covered each time, including three straight wins and an upset win over the…
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Continue reading →: New England Patriots at Los Angeles Rams: 2020 Week 14 NFL Pick
New England Patriots (6-6) at Los Angeles Rams (8-4) The rule of thumb in games where both teams are on short rest is to bet the favorite, especially in non-divisional games. It makes sense that more talented, better coached teams would be at even more of an advantage in a…
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Continue reading →: 2020 Week 13 NFL Picks
Pick of the Week ARZ +3 vs. LAR High Confidence Picks HOU +3.5 vs. IND WAS +7 @ PIT Medium Confidence Picks CIN +10.5 @ MIA MIN -10 vs. JAX DET +3 @ CHI NE +1.5 @ LAC DAL +8.5 @ BAL Low Confidence Picks DEN +13.5 @ KC BUF…
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Continue reading →: Dallas Cowboys at Baltimore Ravens: 2020 Week 13 NFL Pick
Dallas Cowboys (3-8) at Baltimore Ravens (6-5) The Ravens kept the final score closer than expected in Pittsburgh against the Steelers last week, even missing basically half of their team due to COVID or injury, losing by final score of 19-14, but they didn’t play nearly as well as that…