-
Continue reading →: Tampa Bay Buccaneers at St. Louis Rams: 2015 Week 15 NFL Pick
Tampa Bay Buccaneers (6-7) at St. Louis Rams (5-8) Ordinarily, non-divisional home favorites do really well on Thursday nights, going 26-13 ATS since 2002. It makes sense. It’s tough for a team to face an unfamiliar and superior opponent on a short week on the road. The Rams are non-divisional…
-
Continue reading →: Buffalo Bills at Philadelphia Eagles: 2015 Week 14 NFL Pick
Buffalo Bills (6-6) at Philadelphia Eagles (5-7) I’m a little confused why this is an even line. I think the Eagles should be favored by at least a field goal. These two teams are very even in rate of moving the chains differential (Buffalo is 20th and Philadelphia is 21st)…
-
Continue reading →: Oakland Raiders at Denver Broncos: 2015 Week 14 NFL Pick
Oakland Raiders (5-7) at Denver Broncos (10-2) The Broncos lost at home 29-13 to the Chiefs week 10, but it turns out that bottoming out was exactly what the Broncos needed. Peyton Manning played so poorly in that game, completing 5 of 20 passes for 35 yards and 4 interceptions,…
-
Continue reading →: Dallas Cowboys at Green Bay Packers: 2015 Week 14 NFL Pick
Dallas Cowboys (4-8) at Green Bay Packers (8-4) When these two teams met in the playoffs last year, the Cowboys were 8-0 on the road and the Packers were 8-0 at home, the first time in NFL history a team that hadn’t lost at home hosted a playoff game against…
-
Continue reading →: New England Patriots at Houston Texans: 2015 Week 14 NFL Pick
New England Patriots (10-2) at Houston Texans (6-6) The Patriots are 33-17 ATS off of a loss when Tom Brady starts and they haven’t lost 3 straight since 2003. The problem is that the public is all over New England. They seem to rightfully see New England’s loss last week…
-
Continue reading →: New York Giants at Miami Dolphins: 2015 Week 14 NFL Pick
New York Giants (5-7) at Miami Dolphins (4-8) The Giants host the Panthers next week (against whom they’ll be 3.5 point home underdogs), so they could easily be caught looking forward to that game this week, when they face the Dolphins in Miami, a game in which they’re favored by…
-
Continue reading →: Detroit Lions at St. Louis Rams: 2015 Week 14 NFL Pick
Detroit Lions (4-8) at St. Louis Rams (4-8) Everything about this game screams to me to take St. Louis and the field goal. The Rams have gone from 2 point home favorites to field goal home underdogs in a week, from the early line last week to the line this…
-
Continue reading →: Pittsburgh Steelers at Cincinnati Bengals: 2015 Week 14 NFL Pick
Pittsburgh Steelers (7-5) at Cincinnati Bengals (10-2) The Steelers had a big week last week. Not only did they big win, 45-10, over a competent Indianapolis team, but the Seattle Seahawks won big (38-7) on the road in Minnesota, against a solid Vikings team, so the Steelers’ loss the week…
-
Continue reading →: Indianapolis Colts at Jacksonville Jaguars: 2015 Week 14 NFL Pick
Indianapolis Colts (6-6) at Jacksonville Jaguars (4-8) The Colts lost in Pittsburgh 45-10 last week, but still rank 16th in rate of moving the chains differential, as opposed to 28th. Given that, I think we’re getting at least some line value with the Colts as 1 point underdogs. That’s no…
-
Continue reading →: San Francisco 49ers at Cleveland Browns: 2015 Week 14 NFL Pick
San Francisco 49ers (4-8) at Cleveland Browns (2-10) The Browns have the league’s worst record, so the public seems to be confused why they’re favored here, at home against the 49ers, as the public is all over the visitor. I’m confused why they’re not favored by more. They were favored…
-
Subscribe
Subscribed
Have a WordPress.com account? Log in now.
