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Continue reading →: New York Jets at Indianapolis Colts: 2015 Week 2 NFL Pick
New York Jets (1-0) at Indianapolis Colts (0-1) One of my favorite things to do in betting is to go against significant week-to-week line movement. The logic behind it is this: significant line movements from one week to another that aren’t the result of serious injury are usually overreactions to…
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Continue reading →: Denver Broncos at Kansas City Chiefs: 2015 Week 2 NFL Pick
Denver Broncos (1-0) at Kansas City Chiefs (1-0) This line moved from a pick em last week to now Kansas City being favored by 3, a significant line movement from a toss up to expected to win by a field goal. The Chiefs being favored by a field goal here…
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Continue reading →: 2015 Week 1 NFL Pick Results
Week 1 Straight Up: 12-4 Against the Spread: 10-5-1 Pick of the Week: 1-0 High Confidence: 1-0 Medium Confidence: 2-1 Low Confidence: 1-2 No Confidence: 5-2-1 Upset Picks: 1-0 2014 Straight Up: 162-93-1 (.635) Against the Spread: 143-109-4 (.567) Pick of the Week: 9-7-1 High Confidence: 8-11 Medium Confidence: 54-30…
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Continue reading →: Top-200 NFL Players: 1-25 (2015)
1-25 26-50 51-75 76-100 101-125 126-150 151-175 176-200 This 8-part series counts down the top-200 players in the NFL. 200 might sounds like a lot, but with 53 players on 32 teams’ rosters, that’s 1696 players. Count guys on the practice squad, guys on the PUP or the IR, and guys who are free…
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Continue reading →: Top-200 NFL Players: 26-50 (2015)
1-25 26-50 51-75 76-100 101-125 126-150 151-175 176-200 This 8-part series counts down the top-200 players in the NFL. 200 might sounds like a lot, but with 53 players on 32 teams’ rosters, that’s 1696 players. Count guys on the practice squad, guys on the PUP or the IR, and guys who are free…
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Continue reading →: Kansas City Chiefs at Houston Texans: 2015 Week 1 NFL Pick
Kansas City Chiefs (0-0) at Houston Texans (0-0) This is the 2nd toughest game of the week for me, behind Indianapolis -3 in Buffalo. The Texans are currently at -1 here at home for the Chiefs, but they’re also a pick ‘em in some places and could move to single…
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Continue reading →: Tennessee Titans at Tampa Bay Buccaneers: 2015 Week 1 NFL Pick
Tennessee Titans (0-0) at Tampa Bay Buccaneers (0-0) These two teams are in very similar situations. Both were awful last season, as both went 2-14. Subsequently, they had the #1 (Tampa Bay) and #2 (Tennessee) overall picks in the draft. Both teams, as so many terrible teams before them have,…
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Continue reading →: Cleveland Browns at New York Jets: 2015 Week 1 NFL Pick
Cleveland Browns (0-0) at New York Jets (0-0) I believe these two teams are similar in their talent level and this line basically does that too, as the home team Jets are favored by 3.5 points. That suggests they’re just a little bit better than the Browns. The problem is…
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Continue reading →: Carolina Panthers at Jacksonville Jaguars: 2015 Week 1 NFL Pick
Carolina Panthers (0-0) at Jacksonville Jaguars (0-0) To start the season, this week has 8 games that feature road favorites (and no game that features a line higher than a touchdown). Almost every single one of those 8 road favorites is heavily backed by the public. I hate making big…
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Continue reading →: Cincinnati Bengals at Oakland Raiders: 2015 Week 1 NFL Pick
Cincinnati Bengals (0-0) at Oakland Raiders (0-0) To start the season, this week has 8 games that feature road favorites (and no game that features a line higher than a touchdown). Almost every single one of those 8 road favorites is heavily backed by the public. I hate making big…
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