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Continue reading →: Houston Texans at Atlanta Falcons: 2015 Week 4 NFL Pick
Houston Texans (1-2) at Atlanta Falcons (3-0) I had the Falcons as one of the least talented teams in the league on paper going into the season, but they’ve started 3-0. What’s gone differently? Well, the Matt Ryan to Julio Jones connection hasn’t just been great, it’s been record breaking,…
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Continue reading →: Cleveland Browns at San Diego Chargers: 2015 Week 4 NFL Pick
Cleveland Browns (1-2) at San Diego Chargers (1-2) The Chargers are 1-2, but their losses both came on the road against Cincinnati and Minnesota, a pair of solid teams. They still rank 19th in rate of moving the chains differential, decent considering they’ve had a tougher schedule than most teams.…
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Continue reading →: Green Bay Packers at San Francisco 49ers: 2015 Week 4 NFL Pick
Green Bay Packers (3-0) at San Francisco 49ers (1-2) The 49ers have lost their last 2 games by margins of 25 (43-18) and 40 (47-7) respectively and now they face Green Bay, one of seven 3-0 teams remaining and arguably the best team in the NFL. The Packers should be…
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Continue reading →: Kansas City Chiefs at Cincinnati Bengals: 2015 Week 4 NFL Pick
Kansas City Chiefs (1-2) at Cincinnati Bengals (3-0) The Chiefs are only 1-2, but they’ve had the misfortune of playing both the 3-0 Broncos and the 3-0 Packers. They could have easily beaten the Broncos and, while they lost in Green Bay last week, doing so is not that uncommon.…
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Continue reading →: Baltimore Ravens at Pittsburgh Steelers: 2015 Week 4 NFL Pick
Baltimore Ravens (0-3) at Pittsburgh Steelers (2-1) The Ravens are 0-3 but none of their losses have come by more than a touchdown. Their loss in Oakland was bad, but Oakland doesn’t look quite as bad as they usually do, so that road loss doesn’t look so bad anymore, and…
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Continue reading →: 2015 Week 3 NFL Pick Results
Week 3 Straight Up: 11-5 Against the Spread: 6-10 Pick of the Week: 0-1 High Confidence: 2-1 Medium Confidence: 0-4 Low Confidence: 3-2 No Confidence: 1-2 Upset Picks: 2-3 2015 Straight Up: 31-17 Against the Spread: 24-23-1 Pick of the Week: 1-2 High Confidence: 4-1 Medium Confidence: 6-6 Low Confidence:…
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Continue reading →: New Orleans Saints at Carolina Panthers: 2015 Week 3 NFL Pick
New Orleans Saints (0-2) at Carolina Panthers (2-0) The Saints were one of the best teams in the league that didn’t make the playoffs in 2014, finishing 11th in rate of moving the chains differential. However, they had a very rough off-season, getting rid of Kenny Stills, Ben Grubbs, and…
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Continue reading →: Atlanta Falcons at Dallas Cowboys: 2015 Week 3 NFL Pick
Atlanta Falcons (2-0) at Dallas Cowboys (2-0) This is the toughest game of the week for me. The Cowboys usually struggle at home, going 20-31 ATS at home since 2009. However, they are home underdogs here and, while that’s been a rarity, they are 6-3 ATS as home underdogs. The…
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Continue reading →: Philadelphia Eagles at New York Jets: 2015 Week 3 NFL Pick
Philadelphia Eagles (0-2) at New York Jets (2-0) This game had the biggest line movement from last week to this week of any line that didn’t involve an injured quarterback, as the Jets have gone from 3.5 point home underdogs to 2.5 point home favorites here this week. I usually…
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Continue reading →: Buffalo Bills at Miami Dolphins: 2015 Week 3 NFL Pick
Buffalo Bills (1-1) at Miami Dolphins (1-1) The Bills were seen as a breakout squad after they defeated the Colts week 1. However, that win doesn’t look as good now that the Jets beat the Colts in Indianapolis and the Bills were also beaten pretty convincingly at home by the…
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