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Continue reading →: Minnesota Vikings at San Francisco 49ers: 2015 Week 1 NFL Pick
Minnesota Vikings (0-0) at San Francisco 49ers (0-0) To start the season, this week has 8 games that feature road favorites (and no game that features a line higher than a touchdown). Almost every single one of those 8 road favorites is heavily backed by the public. I hate making…
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Continue reading →: Philadelphia Eagles at Atlanta Falcons: 2015 Week 1 NFL Pick
Philadelphia Eagles (0-0) at Atlanta Falcons (0-0) To start the season, this week has 8 games that feature road favorites (and no game that features a line higher than a touchdown). Almost every single one of those 8 road favorites is heavily backed by the public. I hate making big…
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Continue reading →: Indianapolis Colts at Buffalo Bills: 2015 NFL Week 1 NFL Pick
Indianapolis Colts (0-0) at Buffalo Bills (0-0) To start the season, this week has 8 games that feature road favorites (and no game that features a line higher than a touchdown). Almost every single one of those 8 road favorites is heavily backed by the public. I hate making big…
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Continue reading →: Seattle Seahawks at St. Louis Rams: 2015 Week 1 NFL Pick
Seattle Seahawks (0-0) at St. Louis Rams (0-0) To start the season, this week has 8 games that feature road favorites (and no game that features a line higher than a touchdown). Almost every single one of those 8 road favorites is heavily backed by the public. I hate making…
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Continue reading →: Baltimore Ravens at Denver Broncos: 2015 Week 1 NFL Pick
Baltimore Ravens (0-0) at Denver Broncos (0-0) I really like the Ravens this season. I think they’re one of the most talented teams in the NFL and on the Super Bowl short list. The Ravens lost a lot this off-season (Torrey Smith, Haloti Ngata, Pernell McPhee to name a few),…
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Continue reading →: New York Giants at Dallas Cowboys: 2015 Week 1 NFL Pick
New York Giants (0-0) at Dallas Cowboys (0-0) The Cowboys won the NFC East with 12 wins last year, but I think they’ll have a tougher time in 2015. Defensively, they were pretty weak in 2014, ranking 26th in rate of moving the chains allowed. They get Sean Lee back…
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Continue reading →: Miami Dolphins at Washington Redskins: 2015 Week 1 NFL Pick
Miami Dolphins (0-0) at Washington Redskins (0-0) I hate making big plays on road favorites that are heavily backed by the public. Those always scream “trap game” to me. Whenever the public is heavily on a road favorite it’s usually for the wrong reason. That reason is that the lines…
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Continue reading →: Green Bay Packers at Chicago Bears: 2015 Week 1 NFL Pick
Green Bay Packers (0-0) at Chicago Bears (0-0) This line is way too high at a touchdown and yet the public money keeps coming in on the Packers. I love fading the public whenever it makes sense and it definitely does here. The Bears are better than people think (more…
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Continue reading →: New Orleans Saints at Arizona Cardinals: 2015 Week 1 NFL Pick
New Orleans Saints (0-0) at Arizona Cardinals (0-0) The Cardinals won 11 games last season, while the Saints won 7, but I think the Saints were actually the better team last year, as they ranked 11th in rate of moving the chains differential, while Arizona ranked 17th. The Saints were…
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Continue reading →: Detroit Lions at San Diego Chargers: 2015 Week 1 NFL Pick
Detroit Lions (0-0) at San Diego Chargers (0-0) I have these two teams about even coming into the season. San Diego has better quarterback play, but Detroit has a better supporting cast. I have both teams snagging a wild card berth, San Diego with 10 wins in the AFC and…
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