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Continue reading →: Tampa Bay Buccaneers at New Orleans Saints: 2015 Week 2 NFL Pick
Tampa Bay Buccaneers (0-1) at New Orleans Saints (0-1) The Saints are in a spot here this week where they typically do well in the Sean Payton/Drew Brees era. For one, they’re at home, where they are 18-6-1 ATS in their last 25 home games. They’re also coming off of…
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Continue reading →: Dallas Cowboys at Philadelphia Eagles: 2015 Week 2 NFL Pick
Dallas Cowboys (1-0) at Philadelphia Eagles (0-1) I had the Eagles as being a little bit better than the Cowboys coming into the season, winning 10 games and the NFC East, while the Cowboys win 9 and come up just short. The Cowboys barely beat the Giants week 1, needing…
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Continue reading →: Detroit Lions at Minnesota Vikings: 2015 Week 2 NFL Pick
Detroit Lions (0-1) at Minnesota Vikings (0-1) I had both the Lions and the Vikings as 9-win playoff teams this season during my season previews and both teams lost on the road week 1. However, the Lions’ 33-28 loss in San Diego was not nearly as bad as the Vikings’…
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Continue reading →: New England Patriots at Buffalo Bills: 2015 Week 2 NFL Pick
New England Patriots (1-0) at Buffalo Bills (1-0) The Bills had an impressive surprise week 1 home victory against the Indianapolis Colts last week, knocking off Andrew Luck and company 27-14. Many take that victory to mean that the Bills are a legitimate contender in the AFC, but I think…
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Continue reading →: Miami Dolphins at Jacksonville Jaguars: 2015 Week 2 NFL Pick
Miami Dolphins (1-0) at Jacksonville Jaguars (0-1) I had the Dolphins as one of the best teams in the league going into the season. They were arguably the best non-playoff team in the league last season, finishing 10th in rate of moving the chains differential. Now they’re improved on the…
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Continue reading →: Seattle Seahawks at Green Bay Packers: 2015 Week 2 NFL Pick
Seattle Seahawks (0-1) at Green Bay Packers (1-0) Packers/Seahawks is becoming a pretty big rivalry. These two teams met twice last season, in the week 1 opener after the Seahawks got their rings, and in the NFC Championship, when the Seahawks ended the Packers’ season in stunning comeback fashion and…
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Continue reading →: Tennessee Titans at Cleveland Browns: 2015 Week 2 NFL Pick
Tennessee Titans (1-0) at Cleveland Browns (0-1) As I’ve mentioned many times before, I love fading significant week-to-week line movements, as they are usually the result of overreaction to one game, which creates line value. We have a case of that here as the Browns went from 4 home point…
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Continue reading →: New York Jets at Indianapolis Colts: 2015 Week 2 NFL Pick
New York Jets (1-0) at Indianapolis Colts (0-1) One of my favorite things to do in betting is to go against significant week-to-week line movement. The logic behind it is this: significant line movements from one week to another that aren’t the result of serious injury are usually overreactions to…
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Continue reading →: Denver Broncos at Kansas City Chiefs: 2015 Week 2 NFL Pick
Denver Broncos (1-0) at Kansas City Chiefs (1-0) This line moved from a pick em last week to now Kansas City being favored by 3, a significant line movement from a toss up to expected to win by a field goal. The Chiefs being favored by a field goal here…
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Continue reading →: 2015 Week 1 NFL Pick Results
Week 1 Straight Up: 12-4 Against the Spread: 10-5-1 Pick of the Week: 1-0 High Confidence: 1-0 Medium Confidence: 2-1 Low Confidence: 1-2 No Confidence: 5-2-1 Upset Picks: 1-0 2014 Straight Up: 162-93-1 (.635) Against the Spread: 143-109-4 (.567) Pick of the Week: 9-7-1 High Confidence: 8-11 Medium Confidence: 54-30…
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