-
Continue reading →: Oakland Raiders at New York Jets: 2014 Week 1 NFL Pick
Oakland Raiders (0-0) at New York Jets (0-0) I don’t understand this line. These two teams are essentially equal in my eyes, but the Jets are still favored by 5.5 points. This line should be about 3, the standard amount given for homefield advantage. The Raiders are going to be…
-
Continue reading →: Cleveland Browns at Pittsburgh Steelers: 2014 Week 1 NFL Pick
Cleveland Browns (0-0) at Pittsburgh Steelers (0-0) Those who follow these picks know I like to use a lot of situational trends. For example, if a team is big favorites before a game in which they are big underdogs, I tend to go the other direction expecting the team to…
-
Continue reading →: New England Patriots at Miami Dolphins: 2014 Week 1 NFL Pick
New England Patriots (0-0) at Miami Dolphins (0-0) This is another game where I’m kicking myself for not betting it earlier as the Patriots used to be favorites of a mere 1.5 points. I would have been fairly confident in them -1.5. Tom Brady is 42-18 ATS as an underdog…
-
Continue reading →: Buffalo Bills at Chicago Bears: 2014 Week 1 NFL Pick
Buffalo Bills (0-0) at Chicago Bears (0-0) The Bears had a great offense last season, but they also had a defense that was worse than their offense was good. This season, I expect their offense to be worse without their defense being much better. The Bears moved the chains at…
-
Continue reading →: Cincinnati Bengals at Baltimore Ravens: 2014 Week 1 NFL Pick
Cincinnati Bengals (0-0) at Baltimore Ravens (0-0) This game is between two teams in the Ravens and the Bengals who are much better at home than on the road. The Ravens are 41-9 at home since 2008, Joe Flacco and John Harbaugh’s first season with the team. As a result,…
-
Continue reading →: Jacksonville Jaguars at Philadelphia Eagles: 2014 Week 1 NFL Pick
Jacksonville Jaguars (0-0) at Philadelphia Eagles (0-0) The Jaguars are a popular “sleeper” team and are popularly seen as one of the most improved teams in the NFL this off-season. I don’t understand that at all. The Jaguars may have won 4 games last season, but they were even worse…
-
Continue reading →: New York Giants at Detroit Lions: 2014 Week 1 NFL Pick
New York Giants (0-0) at Detroit Lions (0-0) I feel the same way about the Lions as I did about the Panthers last season, when I predicted they would go 12-4, win the NFC South, and get a first round bye. They were 6th in rate of moving the chains differential…
-
Continue reading →: San Diego Chargers at Arizona Cardinals: 2014 Week 1 NFL Pick
San Diego Chargers (0-0) at Arizona Cardinals (0-0) It’s hard to find a team that has lost as much talent since the last time we played football as the Cardinals, particularly defensively. Karlos Dansby is gone as a free agent. Daryl Washington was suspended for the season. Darnell Dockett is…
-
Continue reading →: San Francisco 49ers at Dallas Cowboys: 2014 Week 1 NFL Pick
San Francisco 49ers (0-0) at Dallas Cowboys (0-0) This is another one I’m kicking myself for not betting earlier. The 49ers opened as favorites of less than a field goal here in Dallas, but the public seems to have caught on that the Cowboys are going to be awful this…
-
Continue reading →: Tennessee Titans at Kansas City Chiefs: 2014 Week 1 NFL Pick
Tennessee Titans (0-0) at Kansas City Chiefs (0-0) This is one of a few plays that I’m really disappointed I didn’t get in earlier. The Chiefs used to be 6 point favorites and there was obvious value with Tennessee in that situation. The Chiefs are not going to be nearly…
-
Subscribe
Subscribed
Have a WordPress.com account? Log in now.
