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Continue reading →: Denver Broncos at Las Vegas Raiders: 2022 Week 4 NFL Pick
Denver Broncos (2-1) at Las Vegas Raiders (0-3) This line favors the Raiders by 2.5 points at home, suggesting these two teams are about even. I have them about equal in my roster rankings, so this line is about right. The Raiders could be in a tough spot this week,…
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Continue reading →: Seattle Seahawks at Detroit Lions: 2022 Week 4 NFL Pick
Seattle Seahawks (1-2) at Detroit Lions (1-2) This line has moved from favoring the Lions by 6 points on the early line last week to just 3.5 points this week, but I don’t think the line has moved enough, with the Lions losing feature back D’Andre Swift and #1 wide…
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Continue reading →: Green Bay Packers at New England Patriots: 2022 Week 4 NFL Pick
New England Patriots (1-2) at Green Bay Packers (2-1) The Patriots will play this game with backup quarterback Brian Hoyer under center instead of Mac Jones, which puts them at a distinct disadvantage, while the Packers have gotten back offensive linemen David Bakhtiari, Elgton Jenkins, and Jon Runyan and wide…
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Continue reading →: Los Angeles Chargers at Houston Texans: 2022 Week 4 NFL Pick
Los Angeles Chargers (1-2) at Houston Texans (0-2-1) Going into the season, I expected the Chargers to be Super Bowl contenders, but they’ve gotten off to a slow start, sitting at 1-2, while ranking just 19th in schedule adjusted overall efficiency. A big part of the problem has been injuries…
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Continue reading →: Kansas City Chiefs at Tampa Bay Buccaneers: 2022 Week 4 NFL Pick
Kansas City Chiefs (2-1) at Tampa Bay Buccaneers (2-1) I’ve mentioned this in the Buccaneers’ first three games, but Tom Brady led teams have been a strong bet as underdogs or favorites of less than three in his career, going 59-29 ATS in that spot, including 2-1 ATS this season.…
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Continue reading →: Buffalo Bills at Baltimore Ravens: 2022 Week 4 NFL Pick
Buffalo Bills (2-1) at Baltimore Ravens (2-1) The Bills lost last week in a close 2-point game in Miami, which has been a common theme for them in the past couple years. Since the start of last season, 7 of the 8 Bills’ losses, including playoffs, have come by one…
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Continue reading →: Tennessee Titans at Indianapolis Colts: 2022 Week 4 NFL Pick
Tennessee Titans (1-2) at Indianapolis Colts (1-1-1) The Colts surprisingly got their first victory of the season last week in an upset win over the Chiefs, but the Chiefs missed a makeable field goal and extra point in the 3-point loss, so the Chiefs easily could have won, even though…
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Continue reading →: Jacksonville Jaguars at Philadelphia Eagles: 2022 Week 4 NFL Pick
Jacksonville Jaguars (2-1) at Philadelphia Eagles (3-0) Coming into the season, I expected the Eagles to be one of the best teams in the league, projecting them to win 12 games and tie for the best record in the NFC. The Eagles were coming off of a playoff appearance a…
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Continue reading →: Chicago Bears at New York Giants: 2022 Week 4 NFL Pick
Chicago Bears (2-1) at New York Giants (2-1) Expected by many to be the worst team in the league, the Bears are a surprising 2-1, but if you look at how they are winning games, it’s not hard to see how they could still be the worst team in the…
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Continue reading →: Cleveland Browns at Atlanta Falcons: 2022 Week 4 NFL Pick
Cleveland Browns (2-1) at Atlanta Falcons (1-2) The Falcons were expected to be one of the worst teams in the league this season and they may still end up there, but they have exceeded expectations through the first three games of the season, particularly on offense, where they rank 2nd…
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