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Continue reading →: Arizona Cardinals at Las Vegas Raiders: 2022 Week 2 NFL Pick
Arizona Cardinals (0-1) at Las Vegas Raiders (0-1) Coming into the season, I thought the Cardinals were one of the most overrated teams in the league, but their week one blowout loss to the Chiefs seems to have soured the public’s opinion on them, as this line shifted from favoring…
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Continue reading →: New England Patriots at Pittsburgh Steelers: 2022 Week 2 NFL Pick
New England Patriots (0-1) at Pittsburgh Steelers (1-0) I went 4-3 with my bets last week. The Dolphins/Patriots and Steelers/Bengals games were my two biggest plays that lost, but both games swung significantly on the turnover margin, which is not predictive week-to-week. The Patriots lost by 13 in Miami, but…
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Continue reading →: Miami Dolphins at Baltimore Ravens: 2022 Week 2 NFL Pick
Miami Dolphins (1-0) at Baltimore Ravens (1-0) Coming into the season, I thought the Dolphins were an overrated team. They should be significantly better on offense than a year ago, with Tua Tagovailoa going into his third season, with Tyreek Hill and Cedrick Wilson being added to his receiving corps,…
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Continue reading →: New York Jets at Cleveland Browns: 2022 Week 2 NFL Pick
New York Jets (0-1) at Cleveland Browns (1-0) The Browns won their first game of the season, but they barely won in Carolina against a mediocre Panthers team and there is still a lot of concern around their offense with backup Jacoby Brissett under center. Their defense is still one…
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Continue reading →: Minnesota Vikings at Philadelphia Eagles: 2022 Week 2 NFL Pick
Minnesota Vikings (1-0) at Philadelphia Eagles (1-0) This line, favoring the Eagles at home by two points, suggests the odds makers view these two teams as about even, but I have the Eagles about three points better in my roster rankings, so we’re getting good line value with the Eagles…
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Continue reading →: Chicago Bears at Green Bay Packers: 2022 Week 2 NFL Pick
Chicago Bears (1-0) at Green Bay Packers (0-1) The Packers lost by double digits in Minnesota last week, but I’m not worried, for a few reasons. For one, the Vikings are an underrated team who could easily make the post-season this year, with a talented roster, a healthier defense, and…
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Continue reading →: Houston Texans at Denver Broncos: 2022 Week 2 NFL Pick
Houston Texans (0-0-1) at Denver Broncos (0-1) Coming into the season, I had the Texans as one of the worst teams in the league. They looked improved from a year ago, but not significantly improved and the Texans were even worse than their 4-13 record suggested a year ago. They…
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Continue reading →: Washington Commanders at Detroit Lions: 2022 Week 2 NFL Pick
Washington Commanders (1-0) at Detroit Lions (0-1) In my season preview, I thought the Lions could take a step forward this season and would be competitive in most of their games, but I based that on the assumption that they would have better health on the offensive line, which had…
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Continue reading →: Indianapolis Colts at Jacksonville Jaguars: 2022 Week 2 NFL Pick
Indianapolis Colts (0-0-1) at Jacksonville Jaguars (0-1) The Colts opened the season with a tie in Houston. They fared well in more predictive stats like yards per play differential (+1.35) and first down rate differential (+8.09%), playing to a tie primarily because of special teams and turnovers, which are significantly…
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Continue reading →: Los Angeles Chargers at Kansas City Chiefs: 2022 Week 2 NFL Pick
Los Angeles Chargers (1-0) at Kansas City Chiefs (1-0) This line favors the Chiefs at home by 4.5 points, suggesting they’re the noticeably better of these two teams. In my season previews, I had the Chargers slightly ahead of the Chiefs and winning the AFC West, but I don’t disagree…