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Continue reading →: New York Jets at Cleveland Browns: 2022 Week 2 NFL Pick
New York Jets (0-1) at Cleveland Browns (1-0) The Browns won their first game of the season, but they barely won in Carolina against a mediocre Panthers team and there is still a lot of concern around their offense with backup Jacoby Brissett under center. Their defense is still one…
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Continue reading →: Minnesota Vikings at Philadelphia Eagles: 2022 Week 2 NFL Pick
Minnesota Vikings (1-0) at Philadelphia Eagles (1-0) This line, favoring the Eagles at home by two points, suggests the odds makers view these two teams as about even, but I have the Eagles about three points better in my roster rankings, so we’re getting good line value with the Eagles…
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Continue reading →: Chicago Bears at Green Bay Packers: 2022 Week 2 NFL Pick
Chicago Bears (1-0) at Green Bay Packers (0-1) The Packers lost by double digits in Minnesota last week, but I’m not worried, for a few reasons. For one, the Vikings are an underrated team who could easily make the post-season this year, with a talented roster, a healthier defense, and…
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Continue reading →: Houston Texans at Denver Broncos: 2022 Week 2 NFL Pick
Houston Texans (0-0-1) at Denver Broncos (0-1) Coming into the season, I had the Texans as one of the worst teams in the league. They looked improved from a year ago, but not significantly improved and the Texans were even worse than their 4-13 record suggested a year ago. They…
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Continue reading →: Washington Commanders at Detroit Lions: 2022 Week 2 NFL Pick
Washington Commanders (1-0) at Detroit Lions (0-1) In my season preview, I thought the Lions could take a step forward this season and would be competitive in most of their games, but I based that on the assumption that they would have better health on the offensive line, which had…
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Continue reading →: Indianapolis Colts at Jacksonville Jaguars: 2022 Week 2 NFL Pick
Indianapolis Colts (0-0-1) at Jacksonville Jaguars (0-1) The Colts opened the season with a tie in Houston. They fared well in more predictive stats like yards per play differential (+1.35) and first down rate differential (+8.09%), playing to a tie primarily because of special teams and turnovers, which are significantly…
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Continue reading →: Los Angeles Chargers at Kansas City Chiefs: 2022 Week 2 NFL Pick
Los Angeles Chargers (1-0) at Kansas City Chiefs (1-0) This line favors the Chiefs at home by 4.5 points, suggesting they’re the noticeably better of these two teams. In my season previews, I had the Chargers slightly ahead of the Chiefs and winning the AFC West, but I don’t disagree…
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Continue reading →: 2022 Week 1 NFL Picks
Pick of the Week NE +3.5 @ MIA High Confidence Picks CIN -6.5 vs. PIT SEA +7 vs. DEN KC -6 @ ARZ Medium Confidence Picks WAS -2.5 vs. JAX LAR +2.5 vs. BUF TB -2.5 @ DAL Low Confidence Picks LAC -3.5 vs LV PHI -4.5 @ DET CHI…
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Continue reading →: Denver Broncos at Seattle Seahawks: 2022 Week 1 NFL Pick
Denver Broncos (0-0) at Seattle Seahawks (0-0) The big storyline in this game is Russell Wilson changing sides, being sent from the Seahawks, where he spent a decade as the starting quarterback and won a Super Bowl, to the Broncos, who sent a pair of first and second round picks…
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Continue reading →: New Orleans Saints at Atlanta Falcons: 2022 Week 1 NFL Pick
New Orleans Saints (0-0) at Atlanta Falcons (0-0) The Saints are a team that didn’t make the post-season last year that has a good chance to take a step forward and make the post-season this year. However, if they do that, the primary reason is likely going to be that…
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