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Continue reading →: Arizona Cardinals at Philadelphia Eagles: 2015 Week 15 NFL Pick
Arizona Cardinals (11-2) at Philadelphia Eagles (6-7) The Cardinals rank first in the NFL in rate of moving the chains differential, despite having a couple losses. In those 2 losses, they won the first down battle by a combined 20 first downs and only lost because they had a -3…
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Continue reading →: Detroit Lions at New Orleans Saints: 2015 Week 15 NFL Pick
Detroit Lions (4-9) at New Orleans Saints (5-8) The Saints were favored by just 1.5 points over the Lions on the early line last week, but have since jumped to 3 point favorites, following their upset victory in Tampa Bay and the Lions’ upset loss in St. Louis. That’s a…
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Continue reading →: Houston Texans at Indianapolis Colts: 2015 Week 15 NFL Pick
Houston Texans (6-7) at Indianapolis Colts (6-7) The Colts lost 51-16 in Jacksonville last week, but the good news is that teams are 51-27 ATS since 2002 off of a loss of 35+ points. It’s counter-intuitive, but it makes sense, as teams tend to be embarrassed, overlooked, and undervalued in…
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Continue reading →: Atlanta Falcons at Jacksonville Jaguars: 2015 Week 15 NFL Pick
Atlanta Falcons (6-7) at Jacksonville Jaguars (5-8) This line was even a week ago on the early line, but the Jaguars have since become field goal favorites, a significant line movement, considering about 1 in 4 games are decided by a field goal or less. I love fading significant line…
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Continue reading →: Kansas City Chiefs at Baltimore Ravens: 2015 Week 15 NFL Pick
Kansas City Chiefs (8-5) at Baltimore Ravens (5-8) This has been the season from hell for the Ravens. After going 11-5, winning a playoff game, and finishing the season 3rd in rate of moving the chains differential a year ago, the Ravens lost outside linebacker Pernell McPhee, defensive tackle Haloti Ngata,…
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Continue reading →: Cincinnati Bengals at San Francisco 49ers: 2015 Week 15 NFL Pick
Cincinnati Bengals (10-3) at San Francisco 49ers (4-9) The 49ers are the worst team in rate of moving the chains differential by a mile, coming in at -11.92%, while no one else is worse than -7.14%. That was on display last week, as they lost 24-10 in Cleveland, against a…
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Continue reading →: Chicago Bears at Minnesota Vikings: 2015 Week 15 NFL Pick
Chicago Bears (5-8) at Minnesota Vikings (8-5) This line is way too high at 6. The Vikings are 8-5, but they’ve lost 3 of their last 4 because of a tougher schedule, including two losses by 17 or more, and they rank 16th in rate of moving the chains differential.…
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Continue reading →: Buffalo Bills at Washington Redskins: 2015 Week 15 NFL Pick
Buffalo Bills (6-7) at Washington Redskins (6-7) The Bills are in a good spot here this week, hosting the Cowboys next week, while the Redskins have a key divisional matchup in Philadelphia, which could decide the division. All games are important for the Redskins going forward, as they’re currently locked…
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Continue reading →: Denver Broncos at Pittsburgh Steelers: 2015 Week 15 NFL Pick
Denver Broncos (10-3) at Pittsburgh Steelers (8-5) The Steelers are on fire right now. They’ve been fantastic since Ben Roethlisberger came back from injury. They lost to Cincinnati and Seattle, but both of those games were close and both of those opponents are very tough. They also beat Cincinnati in…
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Continue reading →: Carolina Panthers at New York Giants: 2015 Week 15 NFL Pick
Carolina Panthers (13-0) at New York Giants (6-7) The Panthers are 13-0, but don’t expect them to take their foot off their gas, at least not this week and, if their rhetoric is to be believed, not at any point. This week, they can clinch a first round bye with…
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