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Continue reading →: Washington Redskins at Carolina Panthers: 2015 Week 11 NFL Pick
Washington Redskins (4-5) at Carolina Panthers (9-0) The Panthers are one of the best teams in the NFL, ranking 4th in rate of moving the chains differential with an undefeated record, so it might be surprising that they’re only favored by 7.5 here. However, Washington is a solid opponent, ranking…
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Continue reading →: San Francisco 49ers at Seattle Seahawks: 2015 Week 11 NFL Pick
San Francisco 49ers (3-6) at Seattle Seahawks (4-5) The Seahawks covered in 15 of their first 20 home games in the Russell Wilson era, but they are just 6-7 ATS since. What happened? Do they not have the same homefield advantage anymore? It’s possible, but I think two others things…
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Continue reading →: Cincinnati Bengals at Arizona Cardinals: 2015 Week 11 NFL Pick
Cincinnati Bengals (8-1) at Arizona Cardinals (7-2) This line has shifted significantly in the past week, as the Cardinals were favored by 3 on the early line last week, but now are favored by 4.5, following the Cardinals’ big win in Seattle and the Bengals’ home loss to the mediocre…
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Continue reading →: Denver Broncos at Chicago Bears: 2015 Week 11 NFL Pick
Denver Broncos (7-2) at Chicago Bears (4-5) The Broncos are in a really tough spot here this week, with probably their toughest and biggest game of the season on deck, a clash with Tom Brady and the currently undefeated New England Patriots in Denver, a game in which the Patriots…
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Continue reading →: Tennessee Titans at Jacksonville Jaguars: 2015 Week 11 NFL Pick
Tennessee Titans (2-7) at Jacksonville Jaguars (3-6) Things seem to be looking up for the Jacksonville Jaguars, who won their 3rd game of the season last week, on a last second field goal in Baltimore. Though just 3-6, Jacksonville is only a game out of first place in the AFC…
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Continue reading →: New Orleans Saints at Washington Redskins: 2015 Week 10 NFL Pick
New Orleans Saints (4-5) at Washington Redskins (3-5) Even at 36 years of age, Drew Brees is playing very well. He’s completing 69.6% of his passes for an average of 8.08 YPA, 18 touchdowns, and 7 interceptions, while leading an offense that ranks 4th in rate of moving the chains.…
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Continue reading →: Dallas Cowboys at Tampa Bay Buccaneers: 2015 Week 10 NFL Pick
Dallas Cowboys (2-6) at Tampa Bay Buccaneers (3-5) The Cowboys have lost 6 straight games since losing Tony Romo to a broken collarbone week 2. Romo is expected back next week, when he’s first eligible to come off of injured reserve, but it could be too late. It will be…
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Continue reading →: New England Patriots at New York Giants: 2015 Week 10 NFL Pick
New England Patriots (8-0) at New York Giants (5-4) The Giants have a winning record, but this line might not be high enough at 7.5. The Giants are not nearly as good as their record, ranking 25th in rate of moving the chains differential on the season, largely as a…
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Continue reading →: Miami Dolphins at Philadelphia Eagles: 2015 Week 10 NFL Pick
Miami Dolphins (3-5) at Philadelphia Eagles (4-4) This game was really tough because there are conflicting trends on each side. On one hand, the Dolphins are in their 2nd straight road game. Teams are 122-87 ATS as road underdogs off a road loss since 2008, including 100-59 ATS when it’s…
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Continue reading →: Kansas City Chiefs at Denver Broncos: 2015 Week 10 NFL Pick
Kansas City Chiefs (3-5) at Denver Broncos (7-1) The Chiefs only have three wins, while the Broncos have seven, but the Chiefs actually rank higher than the Broncos in rate of moving the chains differential; While the Broncos rank 17th, the Chiefs rank 15th. How can that be? Well, the…
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