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Continue reading →: New Orleans Saints at New England Patriots: 2021 Week 3 NFL Pick
New Orleans Saints (1-1) at New England Patriots (1-1) The Patriots have split their first two games, but they would likely be 2-0 if they could have held onto one of two fumbles in their 1-point loss to the Dolphins. Fumbles are one of the least predictive metrics week-to-week and,…
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Continue reading →: Chicago Bears at Cleveland Browns: 2021 Week 3 NFL Pick
Chicago Bears (1-1) at Cleveland Browns (1-1) The Browns are just 1-1, but I’ve been very impressed with them thus far this season. Their loss came in Kansas City against the Chiefs and they easily could have won, suggesting they probably would have beaten just about anyone else, anywhere else…
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Continue reading →: Carolina Panthers at Houston Texans: 2021 Week 3 NFL Pick
Carolina Panthers (2-0) at Houston Texans (1-1) Both of these teams are unappealing to bet this week. The Panthers are 2-0, but they beat a terrible Jets team by 5 and then got a Saints team that was predictably flat after an emotional week one victory and that was also…
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Continue reading →: 2021 Week 2 NFL Picks
Pick of the Week NE -6 @ NYJ High Confidence Picks GB -11.5 vs. DET Medium Confidence Picks ARZ -3.5 vs. MIN IND +3.5 vs. LAR TB -12.5 vs. ATL CIN +2.5 @ CHI Low Confidence Picks NYG +3.5 @ WAS LV +6.5 @ PIT JAX +6 vs. DEN DAL…
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Continue reading →: Detroit Lions at Green Bay Packers: 2021 Week 2 NFL Pick
Detroit Lions (0-1) at Green Bay Packers (0-1) The Packers had the most disappointing week one performance in the league, losing 38-3 as 3.5-point favorites against the Saints. The Packers aren’t as good as a year ago, especially with key players like David Bakhtiari and Za’Darius Smith out of the…
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Continue reading →: Buffalo Bills at Miami Dolphins: 2021 Week 2 NFL Pick
Buffalo Bills (0-1) at Miami Dolphins (1-0) It was tough to know what to make of the Bills/Steelers game, but my takeaway was more than the Bills were worse than expected more than the Steelers were better than expected. Everything went perfectly for the Bills’ offense last season and even…
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Continue reading →: Denver Broncos at Jacksonville Jaguars: 2021 Week 2 NFL Pick
Denver Broncos (1-0) at Jacksonville Jaguars (0-1) This line moved significantly from favoring the Broncos by 3 on the early line last week to now by 6 this week, as a result of the Jaguars losing convincingly in Houston and the Broncos winning convincingly in New York against the Giants.…
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Continue reading →: San Francisco 49ers at Philadelphia Eagles: 2021 Week 2 NFL Pick
San Francisco 49ers (1-0) at Philadelphia Eagles (0-1) The Eagles are a tough team to project right now. Their supporting cast isn’t bad, as their offensive line is much healthier than a year ago, their receiving corps are better, and their secondary has added key players like Anthony Harris and…
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Continue reading →: Las Vegas Raiders at Pittsburgh Steelers: 2021 Week 2 NFL Pick
Las Vegas Raiders (1-0) at Pittsburgh Steelers (1-0) Both of these teams pulled upset wins in week one, the Steelers winning as 6.5-point underdogs in Buffalo and the Raiders winning as 4-point home underdogs against the Ravens. The Raiders’ upset was less surprising, as they had the clear emotional edge…
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Continue reading →: Dallas Cowboys at Los Angeles Chargers: 2021 Week 2 NFL Pick
Dallas Cowboys (0-1) at Los Angeles Chargers (1-0) I was expecting the Cowboys to be a lot better this season because of improved health, namely the return of quarterback Dak Prescott and his top-3 offensive linemen from injuries that cost them significant portions of last season, but the Cowboys have…
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