-
Continue reading →: Houston Texans at Cleveland Browns: 2014 Week 11 NFL Pick
Houston Texans (4-5) at Cleveland Browns (6-3) This is a tough one because I don’t really have any significant trends for either side. The Browns are the better team and we’re probably getting some line value with them as mere 3.5 point favorites, especially with Arian Foster out. The Browns…
-
Continue reading →: Denver Broncos at St. Louis Rams: 2014 Week 11 NFL Pick
Denver Broncos (7-2) at St. Louis Rams (3-6) The Broncos are the best team in the NFL in rate of moving the chains differential, moving the chains at a 78.53% rate, as opposed to 70.99% for their opponents, a differential of 7.54%. However, this line still might be too high…
-
Continue reading →: Oakland Raiders at San Diego Chargers: 2014 Week 11 NFL Pick
Oakland Raiders (0-9) at San Diego Chargers (5-4) I’m completely split on this one. On one hand, this seems like a perfect spot for the Chargers to bounce back off of back-to-back big losses on the road in Denver and Miami. Despite those two losses, they are still significantly better…
-
Continue reading →: Detroit Lions at Arizona Cardinals: 2014 Week 11 NFL Pick
Detroit Lions (7-2) at Arizona Cardinals (8-1) The Cardinals have the NFL’s best record at 8-1, but they’re also the most overrated team in the NFL I believe. They rank just 14th in rate of moving the chains differential, moving the chains at a 72.56% rate, as opposed to 70.71%…
-
Continue reading →: San Francisco 49ers at New York Giants: 2014 Week 11 NFL Pick
San Francisco 49ers (5-4) at New York Giants (3-6) The 49ers won last week in emotional fashion in New Orleans. You’d think that would put them in a bad spot for this week, but it historically hasn’t, as teams are 70-44 ATS off of an overtime win as underdogs of…
-
Continue reading →: Pittsburgh Steelers at Tennessee Titans: 2014 Week 11 NFL Pick
Pittsburgh Steelers (6-4) at Tennessee Titans (2-7) The Steelers fell flat on the road in New York last week, losing to the previously 1-win Jets 20-13. That was a surprise for a lot of people, but the Steelers have had a lot of recent struggles as non-divisional road favorites. They…
-
Continue reading →: New England Patriots at Indianapolis Colts: 2014 Week 11 NFL Pick
New England Patriots (7-2) at Indianapolis Colts (6-3) The Patriots are usually an auto-bet as a small favorite or an underdog, as Tom Brady is 45-18 ATS in his career as an underdog or a favorite of fewer than 3 points. However, the usual conditions that accompany the Patriots being…
-
Continue reading →: Tampa Bay Buccaneers at Washington Redskins: 2014 Week 11 NFL Pick
Tampa Bay Buccaneers (1-8) at Washington Redskins (3-6) The Redskins stand at 3-6, but they are still favored by 7.5 points here over the Buccaneers. They’re almost definitely going to finish 6-10 or worse and teams that finish that badly almost never cover as a favorite of 6 or more,…
-
Continue reading →: Cincinnati Bengals at New Orleans Saints: 2014 Week 11 NFL Pick
Cincinnati Bengals (5-3-1) at New Orleans Saints (4-5) The Saints lost at home last week after previously winning 20 straight games under Sean Payton at home. Still, I like them at home a lot. They are still 18-2-1 ATS at home over their last 21 home games with Drew Brees…
-
Continue reading →: Philadelphia Eagles at Green Bay Packers: 2014 Week 11 NFL Pick
Philadelphia Eagles (7-2) at Green Bay Packers (6-3) Both of these two teams had blowout victories on national television last week, as the Eagles blew out the Panthers on Monday Night Football by the final score of 45-21 and the Packers blew out the Bears on Sunday Night Football by…
-
Subscribe
Subscribed
Have a WordPress.com account? Log in now.
