-
Continue reading →: Indianapolis Colts at Kansas City Chiefs: 2013 Week 16 NFL Pick
Indianapolis Colts (9-5) at Kansas City Chiefs (11-3) I’m completely split on this one. Not only do I not have a convincing argument for either side, but both of these two teams are essentially locked in to their current seed. Kansas City would need Denver to lose to either Houston…
-
Continue reading →: Dallas Cowboys at Washington Redskins: 2013 Week 16 NFL Pick
Washington Redskins (3-11) at Dallas Cowboys (7-7) At first glance, this line doesn’t make any sense. In what universe are the Cowboys 6 points better than the Redskins (3 points for home field advantage)? The Cowboys’ defense not only is the worst defense in the NFL, but it’s approaching historically…
-
Continue reading →: Oakland Raiders at San Diego Chargers: 2013 Week 16 NFL Pick
Oakland Raiders (4-10) at San Diego Chargers (7-7) Both of these teams are in bad spots this week and both of those have to do with Denver. Oakland has to deal with Denver next week so they might not be completely focused for the Chargers here, at least not enough…
-
Continue reading →: Tampa Bay Buccaneers at St. Louis Rams: 2013 Week 16 NFL Pick
Tampa Bay Buccaneers (4-10) at St. Louis Rams (6-8) Since 1989, there have been 25 instances of a team winning by 17 or more despite losing the first down battle by 9 or more. The Rams have done that 3 times this season alone. Teams are 6-19 ATS off of…
-
Continue reading →: Miami Dolphins at Buffalo Bills: 2013 Week 16 NFL Pick
Miami Dolphins (8-6) at Buffalo Bills (5-9) Believe or not, the Bills have actually been very good at home. It doesn’t show in their home record (3-4), but they are 5-2 ATS at home, 5-1 ATS if you ignore what was essentially a neutral site game in Toronto and 5-1…
-
Continue reading →: Atlanta Falcons at San Francisco 49ers: 2013 Week 16 NFL Pick
Atlanta Falcons (4-10) at San Francisco 49ers (10-4) Colin Kaepernick has had his fair share of issues this season, but against teams that currently have a .500 or worse record this season, Colin Kaepernick has completed 97 of 156 (62.2%) for 1356 yards (8.69 YPA), 10 touchdowns, and no interceptions,…
-
Continue reading →: New York Giants at Detroit Lions: 2013 Week 16 NFL Pick
New York Giants (5-9) at Detroit Lions (7-7) In case you’ve been living under a rock for the past week, the Lions have a turnover problem. Despite their 7-7 record, the Lions have a turnover margin of -13, which is 4th worst in the NFL and their 31 turnovers are…
-
Continue reading →: Arizona Cardinals at Seattle Seahawks: 2013 Week 16 NFL Pick
Arizona Cardinals (9-5) at Seattle Seahawks (12-2) Seattle at home is pretty much an auto-bet. They’ve been incredible at home over the past few years. Since 2007, they are 38-17 ATS at home, including 22-9 ATS as home favorites, and 11-3 ATS as home favorites of 7 or more. They…
-
Continue reading →: Tennessee Titans at Jacksonville Jaguars: 2013 Week 16 NFL Pick
Tennessee Titans (5-9) at Jacksonville Jaguars (4-10) One of the most powerful trends in betting is known as the six and six trend, meaning teams who finish with 6 wins or fewer are 25-69 ATS as favorites of 6 or more since 2002. There are two issues with this trend.…
-
Continue reading →: New Orleans Saints at Carolina Panthers: 2013 Week 16 NFL Pick
New Orleans Saints (10-4) at Carolina Panthers (10-4) The Saints lost last week in St. Louis in upset blowout fashion. However, they are in a good spot here in their 2nd straight road game. Historically, teams lose by an average of 3.07 points per game on the road after a…
-
Subscribe
Subscribed
Have a WordPress.com account? Log in now.
