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Continue reading →: New York Jets at Carolina Panthers: 2013 Week 15 NFL Pick
New York Jets (6-7) at Carolina Panthers (9-4) At first glance, the Panthers definitely seem like the right side. By all measures, the Panthers are a top-5 team and the Jets are probably a bottom-5 team. The Panthers’ +110 point differential is 4th in the NFL behind the Seahawks, Broncos,…
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Continue reading →: Houston Texans at Indianapolis Colts: 2013 Week 15 NFL Pick
Houston Texans (2-11) at Indianapolis Colts (8-5) The Texans fired Head Coach Gary Kubiak last week. They probably won’t give any effort this week right? That seems to be what the public thinks as they are all over the Colts as 6 point favorites here. I love fading the public…
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Continue reading →: Buffalo Bills at Jacksonville Jaguars: 2013 Week 15 NFL Pick
Buffalo Bills (4-9) at Jacksonville Jaguars (4-9) The Jaguars have won 4 of their last 5, including 3 straight, which somehow is tied for the losing winning streak in the AFC and the 2nd longest in the NFL behind only Philadelphia (5 games). How can they be underdogs at home…
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Continue reading →: 2013 Week 15 Fantasy Football Pickups
WR Da’Rick Rodgers (Indianapolis) Percent owned (ESPN): 0.1% The Colts might have found their replacement for Reggie Wayne. In the first real action of his career, the troubled but talented Rodgers caught 6 passes for 107 yards and 2 touchdowns, despite not playing even close to all of the snaps.…
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Continue reading →: New England Patriots at Miami Dolphins: 2013 Week 15 NFL Pick
New England Patriots (10-3) at Miami Dolphins (7-6) The Patriots lost Rob Gronkowski. How can they function? Well, while it’s very true that Gronk was the 2nd most important player on the team after Tom Brady and that this significantly hurts their Super Bowl chances, the Patriots have proven they…
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Continue reading →: Washington Redskins at Atlanta Falcons: 2013 Week 15 NFL Pick
Washington Redskins (3-10) at Atlanta Falcons (3-10) What’s reportedly happening in Washington between Head Coach Mike Shanahan and Owner Dan Snyder is one of the most dysfunctional things that has happened between a head coach and Owner in a long while. Shanahan has benched Robert Griffin and will be shutting…
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Continue reading →: Arizona Cardinals at Tennessee Titans: 2013 Week 15 NFL Pick
Arizona Cardinals (8-5) at Tennessee Titans (5-8) One thing people who make picks way too often fail to do is look at who the team plays next. In this case, the Cardinals play arguably the best team in the NFL next week when they go to Seattle, while the Titans…
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Continue reading →: San Diego Chargers at Denver Broncos: 2013 Week 15 NFL Pick
Denver Broncos (11-2) at San Diego Chargers (6-7) Peyton Manning has had some games this season where he didn’t look like a quarterback that was having arguably the best regular season by a quarterback in NFL history, but none of those have been at home. At home this season, he…
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Continue reading →: 2013 Week 14 NFL Pick Results
Week 14 Straight Up: 10-6 Against the Spread: 5-11 Pick of the Week: 0-1 High Confidence: 1-1 Medium Confidence: 0-3 Low Confidence: 0-4 No Confidence: 4-2 Upset Picks: 0-4 2013 Straight Up: 140-67-1 Against the Spread: 122-80-6 Pick of the Week: 8-6 High Confidence: 20-6 Medium Confidence: 28-19 Low Confidence:…
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Continue reading →: Rate of Moving the Chains – Week 15
What is this? This is rate of moving the chains, which is my primary statistic for handicapping games. It holds the assumption that the goal of any team on any given 1st and 10 (or 1st and goal) is to move the chains (or score). In order to figure out…
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