Texans’ Matt Schaub says he’s 100%

Matt Schaub suffered a broken foot week 11 last year, effectively killing the then 7-3 Texans’ Super Bowl chances, which were just starting to look promising. TJ Yates played admirably and probably better than anyone would have expected, but the Texans still lost in the AFC Semis to the Baltimore Ravens. Now 7 months removed from the injury, Schaub says he’s 100%. He won’t participate in the Texans’ minicamp next week, for precautionary reasons, but he should be a full go for Training Camp.

The Texans have lost a lot this offseason, including 2 starters on the offensive line, Mike Brisiel and Eric Winston, their starting middle linebacker, DeMeco Ryans, their best pass rusher Mario Williams, Joel Dreesseen, who played significant snaps at tight end, and Jason Allen, who played significant snaps at cornerback. However, they still have a lot of talent and made it to the NFL’s final 8 last year without Schaub and with Andre Johnson missing significant time. In a weak AFC, they could end up with a 1st round bye if everything goes right.

Jay Cutler is concerned about Bears’ offensive line

Jay Cutler has never been one for “saying all the right things.” It rubs some people the wrong way, but I do appreciate his honesty. Cutler has done it again, expressing concern for the offensive line by saying “until we get those front five hammered down, we’re still kind of up in the air offensively.” Cutler isn’t saying anything that isn’t true. The Bears offensive line has surrendered more sacks over the last 2 seasons than any other line in the league, with Cutler taking most of them, and if you ask 5 different people, they might give you 5 different week 1 starting lineups for the Bears upfront.

That being said, with Mike Martz gone, Cutler won’t have to hold the ball as long. In 2009, without Martz, the Bears allowed 35 sacks, which is significantly less than the 105 combined they’ve allowed in the last 2 seasons, and they did that with a very similarly talented group upfront. Without Martz, Cutler has always had a knack for getting the ball out with good timing, taking just 11 sacks in 2008, his last year with the Broncos. With Mike Martz gone and Brandon Marshall coming in, the Bears offense has a good chance to improve on where it was last year when they started 7-3 before injuries struck. The Bears should be a very competitive team in the NFC this year.

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Keenan Lewis to start for Steelers?

The Steelers were an aging team over the last few seasons and they lost a lot of starters this offseason as a result, especially defensively where they lost James Farrior, Aaron Smith, and William Gay, and might not have Casey Hampton ready for week 1. Gay signing with the Arizona Cardinals opened up a hole at cornerback opposite Ike Taylor. There are three candidates for the job: 2009 3rd round pick Keenan Lewis, 2011 3rd round pick Curtis Brown, and 2011 4th round pick Cortez Allen.

According to Pro Football Weekly, Keenan Lewis has the “early edge”. This makes a lot of sense. He’s the most experienced of the bunch and was the highest on the depth chart last season, playing 404 snaps as their #3 cornerback. He’s also been getting the bulk of the 1st team reps in OTAs. The competition is far from over, but it appears, right now, that it’ll be Lewis starting, and Brown and Allen serving the #3 and #4 roles respectively. Lewis boldly predicted earlier this offseason that he’d make the Pro Bowl this season.

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MD Jennings to start for Packers?

He might not be a big name or even someone anyone’s ever heard of, but the Packers have had success with guys no one’s heard of before and they might have found another diamond in the rough. MD Jennings is currently working out with the 1st team at safety in OTAs as Charlie Peprah is injured. Peprah is no sure thing to keep his job, however. The Packers used a 4th round pick on Jerron McMillian and have contemplated moving Charles Woodson to safety if 2nd round pick Casey Hayward can establish himself there this offseason.

Jennings will definitely be given a chance to compete for the starting job this offseason and the fact that he’s impressing in Peprah’s absence is definitely a good sign. Jennings was undrafted out of Arkansas State last season and was on almost no one’s radar. As a rookie he was primarily a special teamer and played just 10 snaps on defense. However, as I said before, the Packers are known for finding diamonds in the rough.

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The post that probably should have been 3: My thoughts on the Miami Heat and Boston Celtics

The Miami Heat were done. They were down 3-2 to an inferior Boston Celtics team that had simply outplayed them. LeBron had failed to score in the final 8 minutes of a close loss in Game 5 in a game that brought back memories of game 5 of the Eastern Conference Finals in 2010. Same teams. Same situation. Same result, losing to an inferior team.

Except something happened. Something that hadn’t happened since LeBron’s game 5 failure in 2010. LeBron stopped caring what everyone thought. He stopped trying to be “unselfish” and went into “I’m the best basketball player on the planet and I know it mode.” That’s what we haven’t seen from LeBron in years. That’s what’s always frustrated me about him in the past 2 years. He left Cleveland to join one of his greatest rival’s team’s and let him remain the alpha-dog. He frequently passed in key situations. He started caring more about setting up his teammates than winning.

He became the bad kind of “unselfish,” the opposite of the good kind of “selfish” that Jordan was, what I call competitive selfish, an attitude where you want to win more than anything and if that means your teammates also win then so be it. Jordan was that kind of selfish. Brett Favre was that kind of selfish. LeBron used to be, but since 2010 he has been over-thinking everything.

In a way I don’t blame him. In this 24/7 news cycle, EVERYTHING he does is questioned. For years. Would Michael Jordan have started 2nd guessing himself in the same situation? Probably not. But we don’t know. For the past 2 games, however, LeBron stopped caring what everyone thought. He led. He took over games, big games. I don’t what exactly what happened. Maybe it was that kid yelling “good job, good effort” at him (if so can that kid be MVP?). Maybe it was the fact that Wade was struggling so he had no choice but to become “selfish” and take over. I don’t know what.

But LeBron hadn’t looked that good since 2007, when he brought a team that had absolutely no business being there to the finals on the strength of 25 straight scored in game 5 of the Eastern Conference Finals against the Pistons. That team’s leaders in minutes played were LeBron, Larry Hughes, Zydrunas Ilgauskas, Drew Gooden, Sasha Pavlovic, and Donyell Marshall. Eric Snow started 45 games at point guard. They made the finals.

In Miami, he hadn’t played like that yet. In Miami there was always the temptation to be 1a to Dwyane Wade’s 1b even though LEBRON IS BETTER THAN HIM and the team is less efficient that way. For the past two games, he didn’t care about this being “Wade’s city” or about splitting the “alpha dog” role with Wade. He made Wade HIS sidekick because he’s the best player on the planet and that’s the way it should be.

If LeBron continues this in the Finals, they will win. If he doesn’t, they will lose because Kevin Durant is nearly as talented and knows his role. And that’s why these Finals will be so interesting. Can LeBron keep this up? Remember it’s only been 2 games, but he used to do this all the time in Cleveland because he had to. If he can, the Heat will win and LeBron will have EARNED his MVP and the title of best player in the league. If he can’t, Durant and the Thunder will win and Durant will have proved that he’s the best in the league. And the media scrutiny will be back on LeBron and rightfully so because everyone knows he CAN and probably SHOULD win this series.

Oh, and these finals might be a preview of a good percentage of the finals matchups in the next decade. Something tells me this isn’t the last time the Heat and Thunder will play in the NBA Finals. These Finals might get record ratings (insert joke about David Stern rigging them to go 7 games, although it’s not a joke because it’ll probably happen). When’s the last time we saw the league’s two unquestioned best players met in the finals? 1987? Maybe 1997-1998 (Jordan and Malone)?

And that brings up a better question. Who is the 3rd best player in the league? We know, unquestionably, who the two best are. Durant and LeBron. Put them in either order, fine, but argue that there’s a player in the league better than those two and you’re an idiot. However, who is #3? You can make arguments for so many different players, but you can also make counter arguments for all of them.

I raised this question on Twitter (@stevenlourie) a few days ago, mentioning Rondo in the tweet. I got these responses: Kobe, Dwight Howard, Chris Paul, Dirk Nowitzki, Derrick Rose. You could probably throw Tony Parker, Dwyane Wade, Russell Westbrook, and Kevin Love into that discussion without anyone looking at you funny. But look at the counter arguments you can make for all of these players.

Rajon Rondo- Has never averaged more than 13.7 points per game, 62% career free throw shooter, 24% three point shooter

Kobe- 34 in August, shot 43% last year, has never won without Phil Jackson

Dwight Howard- Frustrating flip flopper, had back surgery

Chris Paul- Never been out of the 2nd round, knee problems

Dirk Nowitzki- 34 this offseason, coming off a down statistical season

Derrick Rose- Torn ACL, might never be the same

Tony Parker- The Spurs almost traded him last offseason

Dwyane Wade- Currently on a milk carton in the greater Miami area

Russell Westbrook- 43% career shooter, doesn’t seem to understand how to play point guard yet (key word is yet. He’s only 23. I haven’t given up on him “getting it” yet)

Kevin Love- Doesn’t play any defense

I said Rondo because of how he played this post-season and because I think he’s turned a corner as a player. He is capable of both taking over a game offensively at any time and having a good game even when he’s not scoring and he can lock down anyone 6-6 or shorter defensively. This postseason he averaged 17.1 points per game, 6.5 rebounds per game, 11.8 assists per game, and 2.4 steals per game while being the best player on the same court as 5 future Hall of Famers (LeBron, Wade, Garnett, Pierce, Allen) for 5 games of the Eastern Conference Finals. As a Celtics fan, I’m incredibly excited to begin building around him and trying to delete everywhere I ever said we should trade him for Steve Nash and Marcin Gortat because it “gives us a better chance to win now.”

And that brings me to my next point. What’s next for the Celtics? As it’s been said eloquently before, the Celtics were in year 5 of a 3 year plan this season. Conventional wisdom suggests that this team should have been blown up 2 years ago, but after they made no moves at the trade deadline this team basically went into Eminem mode (I’m not even really supposed to be here right now, so fuck it, might as well make the most of it) and took the Heat to 7 games in the Conference Finals. Before game 7 I tweeted “win or lose, the 2012 Celtics have given absolutely everything they had this season.” They all played through injuries, even the coach Doc Rivers had a major back injury. They won at least 75% of the effort plays and gave 110% every single night. The Celtics played like there was no tomorrow because there wasn’t one.

Well now it’s tomorrow and the Celtics are at the crossroads they all saw coming. The 2012-2013 Celtics will either look different or incredibly different and there is no 3rd option. Ray Allen is a 37 year old free agent. Kevin Garnett is a 36 year old free agent. Paul Pierce and Rajon Rondo will have their names thrown in trade talks and even though I just said a few paragraphs ago that I was excited for the Celtics to build around him, the unbiased “stock trader” fan in me thinks it couldn’t hurt to see what they could get for Rondo if they sold high.

The good news for the Celtics is that their current payroll for 2012-2013 is 34.5 million so they basically have a blank state. They can probably resign Kevin Garnett somewhere around 30 million over 3 years and Brandon Bass has an option for 4 million which will probably be exercised. Allen will probably be let go because of the emergence of Avery Bradley. This means that the Celtics can actually bring back their starting 5 from the Philadelphia series at a payroll of around 49.5 million and 3 of the 5 would be under 30.

If they use their cap space and 2 1st round picks wisely, the 2012-2013 Boston Celtics will be a lot deeper than the 2011-2012 Boston Celtics were and they still have one of the best coaches in the business. The 2011-2012 Boston Celtics had Keyon Dooling, Marquis Daniels, Mikael Pietrus, Greg Sietsma, and Ryan Hollins as their bench guys, which meant that their over the hill starting lineup had to play way too many minutes, especially in the playoffs. They can add strong bench guys in free agency this offseason and I wouldn’t be opposed to Ray Allen being one of them at the right price. The Celtics can legitimately bring back their top 6 guys from a team that made it to game 7 of the Eastern Conference Finals and still be under the cap.

Can’t a Garnett/Bass/Pierce/Bradley/Rondo starting 5 compete again in 2012-2013 if they add the right bench guys? They did this year without a strong bench and with Bradley missing the Eastern Conference Finals. The Spurs did it this year with a similar formula. A better bench will allow Garnett and Pierce to play fewer minutes and Bradley’s absence in the Heat series was not mentioned enough. Bradley was their best on ball perimeter defender and they played a team with two of the best perimeter scorers in the league. You can’t tell me that wasn’t a huge absence, probably even bigger than the Bosh absence for Miami because Bosh only missed 4 games.

However, unlike last year, they won’t have that “no tomorrow” feeling motivating them like they did this year. This is clearly the Heat and Thunder’s league right now. The Celtics will still only be a fringe contender in 2012-2013. And yes, I realize this probably should have been 3 posts, but this is my 1st NBA post since last year’s finals.

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Rams to begin extension talks with Chris Long and James Laurinaitis

Chris Long and James Laurinaitis are big parts of the Rams’ defense. However, both are now heading into their contract year and for a Rams team already devoid of talent defensively, they can’t afford to lose arguably their two best defensive players. As can be expected, the Rams will begin extension talks with the pair in the near future.

Chris Long was the 2nd overall pick in 2008 and has emerged as one of the best pass rushers in the league. Over the past 2 years, he has 115 combined quarterback pressures, most of anyone in the league over that stretch. He also has 21 sacks and 25 quarterback hits over that stretch. He’s graded out 5th and 4th respectively in 2010 and 2011 as a pass rusher among 4-3 defensive ends on ProFootballFocus. Though he has graded out as below average against the run, he’s still managed to rank 15th and 14th respectively over those two years.

Laurinaitis, a 2009 2nd round pick, has graded out positively overall over the past 3 years as a starter and ranked 14th overall among middle linebackers in 2010. He’s managed 100+ tackles in each of his first 3 years in the league, good for a combined 376 tackles, a whopping 310 of which were solo. The Rams will want to lock up one of these two guys to free up the franchise tag for the other.

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Cowboys, several other teams not interested in Chad Ochocinco

According to CBSSports’ Jason La Canfora, the Cowboys are not interested in Chad Ochocinco, who was released by the Patriots earlier this week. The Cowboys seemed like a potential destination as they need a 3rd receiver and because they’ve taken chances on frustrating players like Ochocinco in the past. The Cowboys reportedly did their homework on both Chad Ochocinco and, believe it or not, Terrell Owens, but have decided against both.

The Cowboys are not the only team to rule out Ochocinco. The Jets ruled him out earlier this week according to a report from ESPN New York. Also in La Canfora’s report, it said the Rams, Panthers, Ravens, Raiders, and Jaguars ruled out Ochocinco. That knocks out a good bunch of Ochocinco’s potential suitors. Jacksonville ruling him out is interesting because their offensive coordinator, Bob Bratkowski, was the offensive coordinator in Cincinnati when Ochocinco was there. Ochocinco does have one visit lined up, however. He’ll work out for the incredibly receiver needy Miami Dolphins next week.

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Bears’ Devin Hester expects to only return kicks “every now and then”

According to Devin Hester himself, he will be only returning kicks “every now and then” this season and that it’ll all depend on “how the game is going.” Hester makes it sound like he’ll be focusing more on being a receiver than a returner this season and, given that the Bears signed Devin Thomas and Eric Weems, who are able to return kicks at a high level, this offseason, it makes sense. However, the Bears have seemingly had high expectations for Hester offensively over the past few offseasons and Hester has always ended up focusing more on being the record breaking return man he is rather than the marginal receiver he is.

There was also a contrasting report earlier this offseason that Hester’s offensive snaps would be limited this season. We’ll have to see how this all plays out in Training Camp and in the preseason. Hester has to compete with Earl Bennett and Alshon Jeffery for snaps opposite Brandon Marshall. The Bears would be best off starting Jeffery, a 2nd round pick, opposite Brandon Marshall, lining Bennett up in the slot where he’s best and making Hester the 4th receiver who comes in for special packages and allowing him to focus on the thing he does better than arguably anyone who has ever played the game. I don’t understand why they don’t just let him do that.

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Bears’ Matt Forte not asking to be league’s highest paid running back

Matt Forte is one of the few still unsigned franchise players out there. Today he made it clear that is he “definitely” not looking to be the league’s highest paid running back, just to “be given a contract” where he is paid “among some of the top running backs.” That might be a shot at Ray Rice, another unsigned franchise player who reportedly wants Adrian Peterson money, which would make him the league’s highest paid back.

Forte definitely deserves to be paid among the league’s best running backs, which is what he is. LeSean McCoy, Arian Foster, DeAngelo Williams, Chris Johnson, and Marshawn Lynch all have gotten deals worth about 7-9 million per year over 4-5 years over the last calendar year and Forte likely wants to join that club.

However, the Bears are playing major hardball with him, signing Michael Bush to a 4 year deal to potentially replace him if necessary and saying they are concerned about Forte’s knees holding up. There is some contact between the two sides, but unlike Rice and the Ravens, a deal does not appear imminent.

For what it’s worth, Jay Cutler expects Matt Forte to sign his tender by Training Camp and be there regardless of whether or not he’s gotten his deal. He might have to play out the season on the 7.7 million dollar franchise tender and put the pressure on the Bears next offseason with another good year. He’d be a free agent again next offseason and would be owed 9-10 million if franchised again thanks to league rules. He probably doesn’t want to have to prove himself again this season though.

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Jamaal Charles, Tony Moeaki, and Eric Berry to be examined by Chiefs doctors June 18th

According to the Kansas City Star, the Chiefs’ medical staff will examine Jamaal Charles, Tony Moeaki, and Eric Berry on June 18th. That trio all tore their ACLs early last season and the Chiefs want to be cautious. Charles and Berry will probably be cleared fully for Training Camp on that date, though Moeaki is not so sure of a thing. He has a detailed injury history. Having that trio healthy for week 1 would go a long way towards helping the Chiefs get back to the playoff after missing it last season.

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