New York Jets (6-9) at Cleveland Browns (10-5)

This line, favoring the Browns by a touchdown, is about right and if this was a weekend game I wouldn’t have much interest betting on either side, but the Browns are at a huge advantage on Thursday Night Football, as it’s very tough for an inferior team like the Jets to go on the road and face a superior non-divisional opponent on a short week. In total, non-divisional home favorites are 48-33 ATS (59.3%) on Thursday Night Football, as long as both teams are on short rest, and that becomes 22-12 ATS (64.7%) when we look at favorites of 6 points or more like the Browns are here. This isn’t a big play because we’re not getting much if any line value with the Browns, but they’re in a good enough spot to be worth betting just on that.

Cleveland Browns 17 New York Jets 6

Pick against the spread: Cleveland -7

Confidence: Medium