Philadelphia Eagles (0-0) vs. Green Bay Packers (0-0) in Brazil

The Eagles are favored in this game by 2 points, which might seem like a surprise, considering how these two teams finished last season. While the Packers won seven of their last ten regular season games after a 2-5 start and pulled off a first round upset in the post-season, the Eagles lost five of their last six regular season games after a 10-1 and were upset in the first round. The public seems to not understand why the Eagles are favored, as the majority of the action is on the underdog.

However, the Eagles are much better coached on both sides of the ball this season and hold the overall talent edge in this matchup, possessing significant advantages on the offensive and defensive lines and a slight advantage in the receiving corps, while the Packers only have a slight advantage in the linebacking corps (quarterback, running backs, and secondary are essentially a wash). Given that, this line is actually a little short, as the Eagles are talented enough to be favored by a full field goal in this matchup. On top of that, the better team normally covers in neutral site international games, with favorites going 34-18 ATS all-time. The public may be on the underdog, but it makes perfect sense to me why the Eagles are favored and, with the Eagles only needing to win by a field goal to cover, I like fading the public on this one and putting a small bet on the favorite.

Philadelphia Eagles 27 Green Bay Packers 22

Pick against the spread: Philadelphia -2

Confidence: Medium