Las Vegas Raiders (2-9) at Los Angeles Chargers (7-4)

This line, favoring the Chargers by 10 points, is too high. The Chargers’ offense has been significantly worse this season in games in which their top offensive lineman Joe Alt doesn’t play the whole game, scoring 19.9 points per game, as opposed to 26.8 when he does play. The Raiders have a terrible offense, but their defense has actually been pretty solid this season, ranking 12th in yards per play allowed and 7th yards per play allowed, so they should be able to hold the Chargers to a pretty low point total, which should allow the Raiders to keep this game close as big underdogs.

When these two teams met earlier this season, the Chargers only won 11, but that was with Alt, in a game in which the Raiders did not have stud tight end Brock Bowers at full strength. The Chargers were on the road in that game and now are at home, but that doesn’t really benefit them, as they are 35-34 (29-36 ATS) at home since moving to Los Angeles in 2017, as opposed to 39-36 (40-31 ATS) on the road. It is very likely there will be more Raiders fans in the crowd than Chargers fans. The Raiders are worth a big bet this week at +10 and are worth a bet at +9.5 as well.

Los Angeles Chargers 17 Las Vegas Raiders 10

Pick against the spread: Las Vegas +10

Confidence: High