Pick of the Week
DEN 24 (+3) LAC 23 Upset Pick +130
High Confidence Picks
DET 27 CHI 26 (+3.5)
Medium Confidence Picks
DAL 26 PHI 24 (+3.5)
GB 20 NYG 16 (+6.5)
PIT 16 (-5.5) NE 6
HOU 19 (-3) NYJ 13
Low Confidence Picks
CLE 17 JAX 16 (+3)
TB 17 (+2.5) ATL 16 Upset Pick +115
MIA 33 (-13) TEN 17
BUF 24 (+1.5) KC 23 Upset Pick +105
NO 20 CAR 16 (+6)
No Confidence Picks
BAL 27 LAR 20 (+7.5)
CIN 23 (-1.5) IND 21
SF 27 (-13) SEA 13
MIN 23 LV 20 (+3)
New England Patriots (2-10) at Pittsburgh Steelers (7-5)
If this were a Sunday or Monday game, I wouldn’t have interest in betting this game, as this line, favoring the Steelers by 5.5 points at home, is about right, with these two teams about three points apart in my roster rankings. However, on a short week, the Steelers have a huge advantage as significant home non-divisional favorites, with teams going 24-14 ATS in that spot when favored by 4 or more points. Going on the road on a short week and facing a superior opponent outside of the division is a very tough situation. The Steelers are also coming off of a loss, which tends to be a good spot for them in the Mike Tomlin era, going 54-41 ATS, including 4-0 ATS this season. This isn’t a big bet because this should be a low scoring game, but I still like the Steelers chances of winning by at least 6 points.
Pittsburgh Steelers 16 New England Patriots 6
Pick against the spread: Pittsburgh -5.5
Confidence: Medium
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